XPost: can.politics, bc.politics, ab.politics   
   XPost: ont.politics, nb.general, ns.general   
   From: damnthetorpedoes@duck.com   
      
   On Sat, 25 Jan 2014 17:51:30 -0800, Greg Carr   
    wrote:   
      
   >On 25/01/2014 5:32 PM, Con??Con? wrote:   
   >> The Hill Times - Thursday, 01/23/2014 9:02 pm EST   
   >>   
   >> Libs gain at expense of Conservatives, but Mulcair favoured as leader   
   >> who would make best Prime Minister: Forum Research poll   
   >>   
   >>   
   >> PARLIAMENT HILLÃ?¢Ã?Â?Ã?Â?The federal Liberal Party has gained voter   
   >> support at the expense of the governing Conservatives while public   
   >> approval of Prime Minister Stephen HarperÃ?¢Ã?Â?Ã?Â?s performance has   
   >> plunged, new polls suggest.   
   >>   
   >> And, although New Democrat Leader Thomas Mulcair (Outremont, Que.) is   
   >> favoured by voters, with nearly half saying he is doing a good job as   
   >> opposition leader, the NDP is still in third place when it comes to   
   >> support from decided and leaning voters, the polls by Forum Research and   
   >> Abacus Data indicate.   
   >>   
   >> The Forum Research survey, however, also found that Mr. Mulcair   
   >> (Outremont, Que.) leads when voters are asked which of the leaders would   
   >> make the best Prime Minister.   
   >> Twenty nine per cent of the Forum respondents chose Mr. Mulcair, 25 per   
   >> cent favoured Mr. Harper (Calgary Southwest, Alta.) and 19 per cent   
   >> selected Liberal Leader Justin Trudeau (Papineau, Que.).   
   >>   
   >> Asked if they approved or disapproved of the job Mr. Harper is doing as   
   >> Prime Minister, 62 per cent of the respondents disapproved, and only 30   
   >> per cent approved.   
   >>   
   >> Meanwhile, 44 per cent of the respondents approved of the way Mr.   
   >> Mulcair was doing his job as leader of the opposition and only 28 per   
   >> cent disapproved. Forty-five per cent of the respondents approved of the   
   >> way Mr. Trudeau is doing his job as Liberal leader and 36 per cent   
   >> disapproved.   
   >>   
   >> Despite the support for Mr. Mulcair, the Forum Research survey last week   
   >> found 37 per cent of the voters who responded were leaning in favour of   
   >> voting Liberal or intended to vote Liberal, 28 per cent were leaning or   
   >> decided in favour of the Conservatives, but only 25 per cent were   
   >> leaning or intending to vote NDP.   
   >>   
   >> The Abacus Data survey, also conducted last week, found 34 per cent of   
   >> the committed voters across Canada who responded to their survey said   
   >> they would vote Liberal, compared to 28 per cent who were prepared to   
   >> vote Conservative and 24 per cent who said they would vote NDP.   
   >>   
   >> Forum Research found five per cent favoured the Bloc   
   >> QuÃ?Â?Ã?©bÃ?Â?Ã?©cois and four per cent were leaning or decided in   
   >> favour of the Green Party, while Abacus found seven per cent committed   
   >> to the Green Party and five per cent would vote Bloc.   
   >>   
   >> Both polling firms found an old fault line of voter opinion in   
   >> CanadaÃ?¢Ã?Â?Ã?Â?with support for the Conservative Party strongest in   
   >> Western Canada and support for the Liberals strongest in Ontario,   
   >> Quebec, and the Atlantic provinces.   
   >>   
   >> The Liberal Party led the Forum Research findings in Ontario with 37 per   
   >> cent support and even more, 39 per cent, in Quebec. The Conservative   
   >> Party registered with a meagre 12 per cent support from   
   >> ForumÃ?¢Ã?Â?Ã?Â?s Quebec finding, and 33 per cent in Ontario.   
   >>   
   >> Forum found 30 per cent of respondents in Quebec were leaning or   
   >> intending to vote NDP, and only 24 per cent of Ontario voters favoured   
   >> the New Democrats.   
   >>   
   >> Quebec and Ontario together will account for 199 of the 338 House of   
   >> Commons seats to be contested in the next election following the   
   >> creation of 30 new electoral districts after the 2011 census.   
   >>   
   >> In the four Atlantic provinces, Liberal support reached new heights in   
   >> the Forum Research survey at 58 per cent of decided and leaning voters,   
   >> with the Conservative Party at a dismal 14 per cent and the NDP at 23   
   >> per cent.   
   >>   
   >> The Abacus survey found 53 per cent of voters in Atlantic Canada   
   >> intended to vote Liberal, with support for the Conservatives and the NDP   
   >> tied at 21 per cent. The Abacus results in the Atlantic appeared to   
   >> include the entire sample of committed and uncommitted voters.   
   >>   
   >> In the Western Canadian provinces, the Forum Research poll found the   
   >> Conservative Party dominated Alberta with 57 per cent of support from   
   >> decided and leaning voters, led in Manitoba and Saskatchewan with 38 per   
   >> cent support, but placed second in British Columbia with 32 per cent   
   >> support from decided or leaning voters.   
   >>   
   >> The Forum Research found 22 per cent of voters in Manitoba and   
   >> Saskatchewan were leaning toward voting Liberal or intended to vote that   
   >> way, while 32 per cent favoured the NDP. In B.C., the Forum results   
   >> found 36 per cent either favoured or intended to vote Liberal and 23 per   
   >> cent favoured the NDP or intended to vote that way.   
   >>   
   >> The Abacus Data survey found 37 per cent of its respondents in Manitoba   
   >> and Saskatchewan intended to vote Conservative, as did 51 per cent of   
   >> its Alberta respondents and 36 per cent of B.C respondents.   
   >>   
   >> Abacus found 29 per cent of voters in Manitoba and Saskatchewan intended   
   >> to vote Liberal, with 25 per cent planning to vote NDP. The Abacus poll   
   >> found 24 per cent of Alberta respondents intending to vote Liberal, and   
   >> 18 per cent supporting the NDP. In B.C., the Abacus survey found 26 per   
   >> cent planning to vote Liberal and 25 per cent intended to vote NDP.   
   >>   
   >> Ã?¢Ã?Â?Ã?Â?The (country) is now divided again along the Manitoba and   
   >> Ontario border between a blue western Canada and a red eastern Canada   
   >> with orange hues concentrated in B.C. and Quebec,Ã?¢Ã?Â?Ã?Â? said David   
   >> Coletto, chief executive officer of Abacus Data.   
   >>   
   >> Bruce Anderson, a prominent political analyst and the chair of Abacus   
   >> Data, noted other aspects of the survey found that the Conservative   
   >> Party and the NDP have each lost more than 25 per cent of their voters   
   >> since 2011, while the Liberals have lost only 12 per cent and   
   >> picked up Ã?¢Ã?Â?Ã?Â?most of what drifted away from the other   
   >> two parties.Ã?¢Ã?Â?Ã?Â?   
   >>   
   >> Ã?¢Ã?Â?Ã?Â?The new bottom line is this, neither the Conservatives nor   
   >> the NDP can win unless they reverse these patterns,Ã?¢Ã?Â?Ã?Â? Mr.   
   >> Anderson said in a release from Abacus.   
   >>   
   >> The two Abacus analysts said the Liberal Party will be battling to keep   
   >> votes it has won back from both the NDP and the Conservatives since the   
   >> last election.   
   >>   
   >> Forum Research president Lorne Bozinoff noted his firmÃ?¢Ã?Â?Ã?Â?s   
   >> survey found that as Mr. MulcairÃ?¢Ã?Â?Ã?Â?s popularity remained high   
      
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