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|    Message 38,142 of 39,416    |
|    =?UTF-8?B?e35ffn0g0KDQsNC40YHQsA==? to M.I.Wakefield    |
|    Re: Keep this handy - for next Quebec re    |
|    21 Mar 14 11:24:10    |
   
   XPost: can.politics, bc.politics, ab.politics   
   XPost: ont.politics   
   From: {~_~}@nyet.ca   
      
   On 3/20/2014 9:06 PM, M.I.Wakefield wrote:   
   > How will Karen feel about a Quebec referendum when she realizes that   
   > about 60% of the NDP's seats in Parliament come from Quebec, including   
   > Mulcair's?   
      
   Why don't you ask her?   
      
   How do YOU feel that your Harper government has only FIVE MPs in Quebec?   
    That's one of the provinces with the highest voting populations in   
   federal elections.   
   How do you feel that they're likely to lose even those five seats next   
   time around?   
   Today's Supreme Court ruling surely will be accelerating that demise.   
      
   __________________________   
   Harper Conservatives May Be Going Extinct In Quebec, Poll Suggests   
      
   The Huffington Post Canada | 05/31/2013   
      
      
   Are Quebec Conservatives about to go extinct?   
      
   Increasingly, it seems that Stephen Harper has given up on the province.   
   In the end, it may be a realistic assessment of his electoral chances in   
   Quebec, especially considering that both leaders of the main opposition   
   parties are now Quebecers.   
      
   A poll conducted earlier this month by CROP for La Presse found support   
   for the Conservatives has fallen to only 9 per cent in the province,   
   putting the party back to where it had been prior to their breakthrough   
   in 2006. Conservatives had the support of only 8 per cent of francophone   
   Quebecers in the poll, while just 10 per cent of non-francophones in the   
   province said they would vote for the Tories.   
      
   Similarly, Conservatives were polling in single-digits on the island of   
   Montreal, in the surrounding suburbs, and in the regions of Quebec. Only   
   in and around Quebec City did Tories have any life, but at 21 per cent,   
   the party was pegged in a distant third behind the Liberals and New   
   Democrats.   
      
   Only five Conservative MPs represent ridings in Quebec and none are   
   considered leading figures within the party. But because of their   
   rarity, all hold either ministerial or parliamentary secretary   
   positions. Aside from Denis Lebel, there is some question as to whether   
   any of them would be given these roles if the prime minister had more   
   Quebecers from which to choose.   
      
   Unless the trends are reversed, his options will probably diminish. With   
   Conservative support tanking in Quebec, the re-election of all five MPs   
   would be in doubt come 2015. Only Lebel and Maxime Bernier probably   
   boast enough local support to have reasonable expectations of victory,   
   but with Liberals surging and the NDP not going away even they would   
   have to put in a good effort to be re-elected.   
      
   They are certainly not helped by the national party. One local Tory   
   organizer in Quebec recently and publicly slammed the door on the   
   Conservatives due to a perceived lack of interest from national   
   headquarters.   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   
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