XPost: can.politics, ab.politics, calgary.general   
   XPost: edm.general   
   From: doctor@doctor.nl2k.ab.ca   
      
   In article ,   
   =?UTF-8?B?IijgsqBf4LKgKSAi?=   wrote:   
   >Conservative support slipping in Alberta: poll   
   >   
   >October 25, 2014 - Lethbridge Herald   
   >   
   >Conservative support slipping in Alberta: poll   
   >   
   >   
   >For Stephen Harper, there’s no place like home. Calgary – and most of   
   Alberta –   
   >can be counted on to elect a Conservative MP every time.   
   >   
   >But the Conservative party support continues to slip across the province,   
   >according to the latest survey from the Citizen Society Research Lab in   
   >Lethbridge. It’s fallen to 41.5 per cent of Alberta voters, down from 53 per   
   >cent just two years ago.   
   >   
   >If there’s any good news for the governing Tories, it’s that neither of   
   the   
   >main opposition parties seem to be gaining ground.   
   >   
   >“People are tired of the Conservatives,” reports political scientist Faron   
   >Ellis. “But they just can’t stand voting Liberal or NDP.”   
   >   
   >Despite his personal appeal, Justin Trudeau and his Liberals attracted just   
   >16.7 per cent of the “if an election was held today” voting intentions.   
   That’s   
   >up from 10.7 support for the Liberals two years ago – but down from 18.3 per   
   >cent just a year ago.   
   >   
   >Across Alberta, the federal New Democrats were as high as 19.2 per cent in   
   >2011. But the latest survey, completed earlier this month, shows them sinking   
   >to 10.8 per cent.   
   >   
   >The Greens seem to be the only party picking up support, Ellis says. After two   
   >years in the six per cent range, they’re now up to 9.6 per cent across   
   Alberta.   
   >   
   >“That’s a default protest vote,” he says.   
   >   
   >“In a competitive riding, the Green or other minor parties’ votes just   
   disappear.”   
   >   
   >After close to a decade in power, political parties are seldom able to hold   
   >their initial support. Ellis says that’s one reason the number of undecided   
   >voters continues to climb.   
   >   
   >“Most of the drop in the Conservative vote is shopping around,” with more   
   than   
   >19 per cent telling this month’s survey callers they didn’t know how   
   they’d vote.   
   >   
   >That compares to 8.3 per cent of Albertans in 2011, an election year.   
   >   
   >Conservatives are strongest in Calgary, the survey confirms, with 56.3 per   
   cent   
   >of the decided voters. They’re weakest in Edmonton, at 41 per cent of those   
   >who’ve made up their minds.   
   >   
   >Federal Liberals are second in Edmonton (25 per cent) and Calgary (21.8) while   
   >New Democrats are also competitive in Edmonton with 18 per cent of committed   
   >voters. If an opposition party’s support is focused in a particular   
   >constituency, Ellis adds, an upset is possible.   
   >   
   >With several longtime Conservative MPs retiring, he points out, some Alberta   
   >ridings could prove interesting during next year’s election campaign.   
   >   
   >One of those seats is Edmonton Centre, Ellis says.   
   >   
   >“Anne McLellan held it for four terms” for the Liberals, and became deputy   
   >prime minister for Paul Martin.   
      
   Hopefully that means today Prentice , Smith and Notley score 0/4   
    in the byelections!   
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