XPost: can.politics, ab.politics, calgary.general   
   XPost: edm.general   
   From: doctor@doctor.nl2k.ab.ca   
      
   In article ,   
   Barry Bruyea   wrote:   
   >On Wed, 29 Oct 2014 23:39:24 +0000 (UTC), doctor@doctor.nl2k.ab.ca   
   >(The Doctor) wrote:   
   >   
   >>In article ,   
   >>Nobody   wrote:   
   >>>The Doctor wrote:   
   >>>   
   >>>> In article ,   
   >>>> =?UTF-8?B?IijgsqBf4LKgKSAi?=   wrote:   
   >>>>>Conservative support slipping in Alberta: poll   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>October 25, 2014 - Lethbridge Herald   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>Conservative support slipping in Alberta: poll   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>For Stephen Harper, there’s no place like home. Calgary – and   
   >>>>>most of Alberta – can be counted on to elect a Conservative MP   
   >>>>>every time.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>But the Conservative party support continues to slip across the   
   >>>>>province,  according to the latest survey from the Citizen Society   
   >>>>>Research Lab in Lethbridge. It’s fallen to 41.5 per cent of   
   >>>>>Alberta voters, down from 53 per cent just two years ago.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>If there’s any good news for the governing Tories, it’s that   
   >>>>>neither of the main opposition parties seem to be gaining ground.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>“People are tired of the Conservatives,â€? reports political   
   >>>>>scientist Faron Ellis. “But they just can’t stand voting   
   >>>>>Liberal or NDP.â€?   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>Despite his personal appeal, Justin Trudeau and his Liberals   
   >>>>>attracted just 16.7 per cent of the “if an election was held   
   >>>>>todayâ€? voting intentions. That’s up from 10.7 support for the   
   >>>>>Liberals two years ago – but down from 18.3 per cent just a year   
   >>>>>ago.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>Across Alberta, the federal New Democrats were as high as 19.2 per   
   >>>>>cent in 2011. But the latest survey, completed earlier this month,   
   >>>>>shows them sinking to 10.8 per cent.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>The Greens seem to be the only party picking up support, Ellis   
   >>>>>says. After two years in the six per cent range, they’re now up   
   >>>>>to 9.6 per cent across Alberta.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>“That’s a default protest vote,â€? he says.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>“In a competitive riding, the Green or other minor parties’   
   >>>>>votes just disappear.â€?   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>After close to a decade in power, political parties are seldom   
   >>>>>able to hold their initial support. Ellis says that’s one reason   
   >>>>>the number of undecided voters continues to climb.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>“Most of the drop in the Conservative vote is shopping   
   >>>>>around,â€? with more than 19 per cent telling this month’s   
   >>>>>survey callers they didn’t know how they’d vote.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>That compares to 8.3 per cent of Albertans in 2011, an election   
   >>>>>year.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>Conservatives are strongest in Calgary, the survey confirms, with   
   >>>>>56.3 per cent of the decided voters. They’re weakest in   
   >>>>>Edmonton, at 41 per cent of those who’ve made up their minds.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>Federal Liberals are second in Edmonton (25 per cent) and Calgary   
   >>>>>(21.8) while New Democrats are also competitive in Edmonton with   
   >>>>>18 per cent of committed voters. If an opposition party’s   
   >>>>>support is focused in a particular constituency, Ellis adds, an   
   >>>>>upset is possible.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>With several longtime Conservative MPs retiring, he points out,   
   >>>>>some Alberta ridings could prove interesting during next year’s   
   >>>>>election campaign.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>One of those seats is Edmonton Centre, Ellis says.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>“Anne McLellan held it for four termsâ€? for the Liberals, and   
   >>>>>became deputy  prime minister for Paul Martin.   
   >>>>   
   >>>> Hopefully that means today Prentice , Smith and Notley score 0/4   
   >>>>  in the byelections!   
   >>>   
   >>>Well, they scored 4/4 in the btelections.  Perhaps all of the PC   
   >>>haters should STFU for a bit now.   
   >>   
   >>A Harper win for now.   
   >   
   >And your next prediction is..........................?   
   >   
      
   Look to Ontario and Quebec to see who makes the majority government.   
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