'Coalition government' ?   
   Looks like it.  And Elizabeth May has made that commitment.  She and her party   
   will work with any party that is serious about combating climate change.     
      
   Scheer has promised to give MORE subidies to the oil industry to help expand   
   their operations.  He has vowed to cancel the carbon taxes that have shown   
   great changes to the behaviour of the oil industry when they have to pay those   
   taxes.  He would lower    
   the corporate tax rate for these CO2 emitters.  And he would take 3 years to   
   'study' the impact of industry on our environment.     
      
   Does this sound like a party the people of Quebec would vote for?   
      
   Let's see some polls from the petroleum press:   
   ____________________________________   
      
   Polls point to more Alberta oil patch pain   
      
   Parties less favourable to Canada's oil industry make gains   
                ^^^^^^^^^^^^^   
      
   Beleaguered western Canadian oil and gas firms face reducing prospects of any   
   relief after the upcoming federal election, to be held no later than October   
   21, according to the most recent opinion polls.   
      
   The pro-business Conservative Party was verging on majority territory earlier   
   this year.  But incumbent prime minister Justin Trudeau and his Liberal   
   Party—blamed by many for what ails the West's oil patch, especially the lack   
   of pipeline capacity    
   exiting the region—are now running close to neck and neck with the   
   Conservatives in the polls.   
      
      
   Another majority Liberal government is likely a stretch come October, with   
   Trudeau's approval rating collapsing to the low thirties over the past four   
   years. But a majority Conservative government is also unlikely, in part owing   
   to the rising importance    
   of environmental issues to Canadians.   
      
      
   The tightened margins are problematic for the Conservatives—and, hence, for   
   the hopes of western Canada's oil industry for a more sympathetic Ottawa   
   administration—as they likely need a majority on their own account to   
   govern, given that the minority    
   New Democratic Party (NDP) and Green Party share outstrip the Liberals'   
   environmental sensibilities, while the importance of climate change to the   
   Bloc Québécois (BQ) is also rising.   
      
      
   The polls   
      
   Based on a poll tracker from Canadian state broadcaster CBC, which aggregates   
   all publicly available polling data, the Conservatives presently have 35pc of   
   the committed vote, the Liberals 32pc, and the NDP, Green Party and BQ 14pc,   
   11pc and 4pc    
   respectively. That would translate to 152 seats for the Conservatives, six   
   more than for the Liberals, 20 seats for the NDP, 14 Quebec seats for the BQ,   
   and five for the Greens.   
      
   Climate change and other environmental issues are becoming increasingly   
   important to Canadians   
      
   The BQ largely kept Conservative prime minister Stephen Harper's two minority   
   governments in power from 2006 to 2011, but, based on this seat count, would   
   not be able to do the same for Conservative leader Andrew Scheer, with their   
   combined total of 166    
   falling four short of majority status.   
      
   And BQ support for the Conservatives is no longer a slam-dunk, despite the   
   separatist BQ's ideological issues with the Liberals.  The Bloc has adopted an   
   increasingly aggressive policy position on climate change on the back of   
   Quebec suffering two '   
   hundred year' floods over the past three years.  Experts and media alike   
   near-universally panned the Conservative Party's recently released climate   
   change plan.   
      
   Based on CBC's current numbers and the parties' policy positions, the Liberals   
   in a minority government propped up by the NDP and Green Party—giving that   
   alliance 171 seats, one above the threshold to govern—is the most plausible   
   outcome.   
      
      
   Climate coalition   
      
   This scenario appears credible.  In late July, Elizabeth May, leader of the   
   Green Party, appeared to lay the groundwork for a possible coalition   
   government with the Liberals, and, if need be, the NDP, saying her party would   
   work with any other party with    
   a serious plan to combat climate change.   
      
   It is also potentially more problematic for Alberta's oil and gas industry   
   than the current Trudeau majority government, despite his deep personal   
   unpopularity in the province.  The NDP and Green Party's policy platforms are   
   steadfastly anti-oil sands    
   and anti-pipeline, and also anti-fracking.  And their message is resonating.   
      
   Climate change and other environmental issues are becoming increasingly   
   important to Canadians.  According to the Vancouver-based public opinion   
   research organisation Angus Reid Institute, "environment/pollution" became the   
   number one issue of concern    
   for the first time ever in an early May poll, with 27pc of respondents citing   
   it as one of their two most important issues, increasing to 33pc in its most   
   recent poll.  In contrast, a mere 10 pc of Canadians cited "energy/natural   
   resources."   
      
   And of the voters that have deserted the Liberals since their surprise leap to   
   majority government in winning 184 seats in the 2015 general election, twice   
   as many have moved to the NDP and Greens than to the Conservatives, according   
   to Angus Reid    
   Institute data.   
   _______________________________   
      
   https://www.petroleum-economist.com/articles/politics-economics/   
   orth-america/2019/polls-point-to-more-alberta-oil-patch-pain   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)