MSGID: 1:135/250@fidonet 6944c56a
PID: C-NET AMIGA BBS 5.36b
On Thu 18-Dec-2025  6:16a, Joseph Pereira@1:103/705.0 wrote:

JP> The US has approved a massive arms sale to Taiwan. It involves a purchase
JP> of $11.15 billion worth of weapons.

JP> This purchase poses an additional problem for Ukraine, because the US
JP> prefers to sell to Taiwan rather than to Ukraine/Europe. This is entirely
JP> due to Trump's personal preferences.

  I personally feel that Trump doesn't know enough about geopolitics to have a
preference one way or another.  This is being purely driven by the military
industrial complex, with the side bennifit of the necessity of playing both
sides of the field.  While Trump may think he is buddies with Putin.  Putin
has shown that he does not honor his agreements.  Vis a' vis Ukraine, and he
is more than happy to play Trump like a fool.  If I were to hedge my bets, I
would say the MIC sees this as a WIN WIN.  With what looks like the begginings
of another Cold War, these will be massive amounts of cash to be made with
conflicts both in the Eur/Asian theater and the South China Sea.  Even if a
peace/ceasefire is worked out and implemented I am sure someone is hedging
their bets it will not last and we will have to step in to provide arms or
military support (direct or indirect).  "We antincipated this, and we have
this hudge stockpile just waiting for you to buy!"


JP> In Trump's view, China is the future enemy and Russia the future ally of
JP> the US.

Again, I don't think Trump has much knowledge with history and the politics of
the region, heck most American's don't.  History was THE class to sleep
through.  Heck, if South Korea is an example there is enough naivty to go
around (and South Korea is right in the thick of it!).

While China is currently a *"communist" natation and used the rise of
communism in the old Soviet Union as a building block for their own civil war,
the Chinese has a major idiological and political shift with the U.S.S.R
following the death of Stalin.  While the Chinese government and the Soviets
were players in the Viet Nam war, in so far as their goals in aiding the
communist rebels in SE Asia, the regiemes they established could not have been
more different.  Viet Nam anf Laos being alligned with the Soviets, and
Cambodia alligned with Beijing, and the political games Norodom Sihanouk
played to cling to power in Cambodia and his weird take on "Neutrality" ie. I
will allow the Viet Cong to stretch the Ho Chi Minh trail across our boarders,
but also allow US troops to pursue those troops.  Then later, once deposed by
the US backed Gen. Lon Nol and being exiled in China fully put his support
behind the Kmere Rouge and Pol Pot.  After the wars ended, Viet Nam did not
and never would trust the Chinese due to their being ruled by them for almost
1,000 years as part of Cochin China firmly relied on support from The Soviets. 
This was never more evident than during the armed conflict with Viet Nam,
after the Khmere Rouge decided to attempt to take land from Viet Nam they
claim was theirs historically in the late 1970s.   This did NOT end well for
Democratic Kahmpuchea, and put the final nail in the coffin of the KR rule. 
In that sense, the Vietnamese army became the peace keepers in SE Asia.  On a
side note..  Want to take a wild guess who the US assisted, through China? 

I do not see Rusia getting involved in a conflict between the PRK and the ROC,
as long as it stays confined to Taiwan.  I could see Japan possibly entering
the fray (The self defense clause was removed from their constitution in
2015), however that would preclude South Korea from joining.

Now if the conflict spread further into the South China Sea.  You would see
Thailand, Laos, the Philippines, and Viet Nam standing with us, as they are
dead set against Chinese expansion in their region.

While the Russian Navy still uses Viet Nam as a deep water port in the region,
I do not see them becoming directly involved, maybe limmited trading of arms
through Laos and Viet Nam, but they are just streched too thin.

I can imagine though that a lot of the old school weapons manufactures
salivating over this, but I do not think Trump has anything to do with this. 

Rug Rat (Brent Hendricks)
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