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Yes, the attack in Venezuela was about oil. The stated reasoning that it was
about drugs is complete nonsense. But there's more at stake than just oil.

The team behind Trump (the creators of Project 2025) has bigger plans.

Trump is executing them rather clumsily, but they're letting him stumble
because it creates a lot of distraction, and that's not working out badly for
them.

The unnecessary dispute with Canada means that the US is getting, or at least
is in danger of getting, less heavy oil from Canada. American oil refineries
are fully equipped to process heavy oil, such as that from Canada and
Venezuela.

As long as the oil came from Canada, not getting oil from Venezuela wasn't a
problem for the companies.

But the dispute with Canada is making the oil refineries uncertain about the
supply of Canadian oil.

Oil from Venezuela would make them less dependent on Canada.

However... China has contracts under which it would receive 78% of Venezuela's
oil. If those contracts were to remain in place, the US's oil supply would be
too uncertain due to the dispute with Canada. As a global power, you don't
want that, especially if that oil were to go to your biggest competitor. So,
thanks to Trump's clumsy behavior, Venezuelan oil has suddenly become a
priority. That's why Trump's team convinced him that intervention was
necessary because of drugs, and they convinced him that he could easily keep
$3 billion worth of oil personally and transfer it to his personal account
after selling it.

The question now remains: what power does the US currently wield in Venezuela?
Will Venezuela now cancel its contracts with China, or will it ask China for
support to honor the contracts with military force against the US? Does China
have the military power and the will to defend its interests militarily,
literally on the other side of the world, in the US's backyard?

Clearly, that scenario is currently unfeasible for China.

So Venezuela can't expect help from either China or Russia. It's on its own
militarily. But that doesn't mean the US has the final say in Venezuela. The
US is militarily incapable of occupying Venezuela if the population is
massively opposed to that occupation.

Therefore, it must blackmail the country's leaders. The threat of violence is
what the US can do. However, Venezuela could also completely halt oil exports.
That would make the population very poor, but would also force the US to
invade anyway to steal the oil, and that would then trigger a Ukraine or
Vietnam/Afghanistan scenario for the US.

Trump is now drunk with power, but even US military might has its limitations.
Afghanistan recently demonstrated this.

Meanwhile, China is seeing its plan to deprive the US of Venezuela's oil go up
in smoke. The chess game for global hegemony is in full swing. This is already
World War III. What we don't yet know, however, is the distribution of the
players in that war. That is now being determined. Remember that Russia also
switched sides during the Second World War. So everything is still uncertain,
because the battle has yet to truly begin.

Will it be another two-way battle, or will it be a kind of Stratego with
multiple camps, each fighting for their own part of the world?

In any case, World War III has already begun. Get used to it.


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