From: Jinks@Totopoly.co.uk   
      
   "nigel"  wrote in message   
   news:hpqdnWWn_eNP_CP5nZ2dnZfqnPudnZ2d@brightview.co.uk...   
   > Marmaduke Jinks wrote:   
   >   
   >> "nigel"  wrote in message   
   >> news:XXydndJ4Wpsv4Cf5nZ2dnZfqn_tj4p2d@brightview.co.uk...   
   >>   
   >>>nigel wrote:   
   >>   
   >>    
   >>   
   >>>Result: UK 0, NY 0.   
   >>>   
   >>>Only 50% wrong   
   >>>   
   >>>Predictions for Saturday: UK 0, NY 0.   
   >>>   
   >>   
   >> One has to admire your resilience in carrying on with this.   
   >>   
   >   
   > Perhaps 'silly' rather than 'sili' ;-)   
   >   
   >> Saturday's draw was unusual in that the main numbers were drawn in the   
   >> last 6 draws.   
   >>   
   >> MJ   
   >   
   > That baffled me until I found 14 was drawn as the bonus ball in that   
   > timescale.   
   >   
   > Without any calculations, my best strategy ought to be to pick nil nil   
   > every draw. That has a theoretical probability of being correct for each   
   > draw (main numbers only) 50.95% of the time. But using my simplistic   
   > calculations, it seems that the better the rating for a prediction, the   
   > more likely it is to be wrong, a sort of active regression to the mean.   
   > It's probably a short-term fluke but it's fun to monitor. And it helps   
   > foster the illusion that rec.gambling.lottery isn't totally dead.   
   >   
   reports of its death etc etc (Marcus Twainus). ;-)   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)