From: xyzzy.dude@gmail.com   
      
   The NOTBCS Guy  wrote:   
   >>> Now, real chance (at least IMODO) that at least one of the remaining four   
   >>> schools drops it's athletic program completely.   
   >   
   >> There is zero chance that happens. They may drop to a lower level but will   
   >> not completely eliminate.   
   >   
   > "Drop to a lower level?" He's not talking about just football; he's   
   > talking about all sports. No way any of these schools ends up in Division   
   > II, much less get rid of all of their sports, or change them all to "club   
   > level," whatever that means.   
   > Cal and Stanford are far too entrenched in the "minor sports" to drop   
   > them. Cut a few, maybe - back in 2010, Cal tried cutting its baseball,   
   > women's lacrosse, and men's and women's gymnastics programs (all four of   
   > which currently exist) - but certainly not the one thing that still   
   > brings in money; men's basketball.   
   >   
   > There's a slim change Oregon State or Washington State could drop their   
   > football program, and a slightly less slim chance one or more of the four   
   > drops down to FCS and joins the Big West.   
   >   
   > Men's basketball...pardon me while I look something up...   
   > Normally, when a school leaves a conference, any shares of the Basketball   
   > TV money that it earned remain with the conference. However, according to   
   > the NCAA Bylaws, once a multisport (as opposed to something like the   
   > CCHA) conference drops below 7 schools, it has 2 years to get back to 7,   
   > or its remaining shares go to the teams' new conferences.   
   > Assuming none of these four teams gets into the NCAA tournament in the   
   > next few years (and the last time any of them did was when Cal and Oregon   
   > State got in in 2016, although I think Cal was one of the "first four   
   > out" in 2017), that's about $10.9 million in 2025 and $9.25 million in 2026.   
   >   
   > Also, the NCAA is probably sweating about whether Cal and Stanford can   
   > keep up their mens' gymnastics programs, as there are already so few   
   > schools that support it that any defections could mean the NCAA no longer   
   > conductiong a championship for it.   
   >   
      
   Also doesn’t a league lose its NCAA tournament automatic bid if it doesn’t   
   have six continuous members for four years or something like that?  By six   
   continuous members I mean the same six teams together for four years, so   
   for those purposes the PAC-4 is already screwed. I remember when this   
   happened to the Metro Conference in the 1990s.   
      
   --   
   “I usually skip over your posts because of your disguistng, contrarian,   
   liberal personality.” — Altie   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)