From: aj@invalid.none   
      
   JGibson  wrote in   
   news:4b98f554-7b89-4657-99bf-93838d516a02n@googlegroups.com:   
      
   > On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 3:27:57 PM UTC-4, Eric Ramon wrote:   
   >> On Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 12:14:10 PM UTC-7, The NOTBCS Guy   
   > wrote:   
   >> > > > Now, real chance (at least IMODO) that at least one of the   
   >> > > > remainin   
   > g four   
   >> > > > schools drops it's athletic program completely.   
   >> >   
   >> > > There is zero chance that happens. They may drop to a lower level   
   >> > > but   
   >  will   
   >> > > not completely eliminate.   
   >> > "Drop to a lower level?" He's not talking about just football; he's   
   >> > tal   
   > king about all sports. No way any of these schools ends up in Division   
   > II, much less get rid of all of their sports, or change them all to   
   > "club level," whatever that means.   
   >> > Cal and Stanford are far too entrenched in the "minor sports" to   
   >> > drop t   
   > hem. Cut a few, maybe - back in 2010, Cal tried cutting its baseball,   
   > women's lacrosse, and men's and women's gymnastics programs (all four   
   > of which currently exist) - but certainly not the one thing that still   
   > brings in money; men's basketball.   
   >> >   
   >> > There's a slim change Oregon State or Washington State could drop   
   >> > their   
   >  football program, and a slightly less slim chance one or more of the   
   >  four drops down to FCS and joins the Big West.   
   >> >   
   >> > Men's basketball...pardon me while I look something up...   
   >> > Normally, when a school leaves a conference, any shares of the   
   >> > Basketba   
   > ll TV money that it earned remain with the conference. However,   
   > according to the NCAA Bylaws, once a multisport (as opposed to   
   > something like the CCHA) conference drops below 7 schools, it has 2   
   > years to get back to 7, or its remaining shares go to the teams' new   
   > conferences.   
   >> > Assuming none of these four teams gets into the NCAA tournament in   
   >> > the   
   > next few years (and the last time any of them did was when Cal and   
   > Oregon State got in in 2016, although I think Cal was one of the   
   > "first four out" in 2017), that's about $10.9 million in 2025 and   
   > $9.25 million in 2026.   
   >> >   
   >> > Also, the NCAA is probably sweating about whether Cal and Stanford   
   >> > can   
   > keep up their mens' gymnastics programs, as there are already so few   
   > schools that support it that any defections could mean the NCAA no   
   > longer conductiong a championship for it.   
   >> there is NO chance Oregon State drops football. Jonathan Smith has a   
   >> cont   
   > ract that runs until 2029. They have to pay him somehow and football   
   > is the best way to raise that money. I think they end up in the   
   > Mountain West. Additionally, with Oregon State, the Beavers are a   
   > national power in baseball. If any school does drop sports it won't be   
   > Oregon State   
   >   
   > Oregon State, Cal, Stanford, and Washington State might not be   
   > brand-name enough for the Big Ten, but they are still miles ahead of   
   > most of the Mountain West.  I feel like the MWC would take any of   
   > those schools in a heartbeat.   
      
   You might run to run your numbers on that again.  Half the MW can beat any   
   of those leftover teams.   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)