From: don.p.del.grande@gmail.com   
      
   Of the teams that haven't already guaranteed a bowl berth and have a chance   
   either to get to 6 wins or qualify on APR with 5 wins (or, for James Madison   
   and Jacksonville State, if there aren't 82 other 6-win teams), here are the   
   probabilities of each one    
   getting into a bowl, based on the game win probabilities from ESPN Analytics:   
   James Madison, 96.3069 %   
   Central Florida, 93.9727 %   
   Rice, 92.9435 %   
   Jacksonville State, 90.4918 %  (this assumes that, if there are 81 berths   
   taken by 6-win teams, James Madison gets taken over Jacksonville State for the   
   last one)   
   Minnesota, 89.1221 %   
   Northern Illinois, 86.7135 %   
   Louisiana, 84.5 %   
   Mississippi State, 70.6513 %   
   Syracuse, 69.6 %   
   South Carolina, 66.2708 %   
   South Florida, 61.7308 %   
   Utah State, 61.6024 %   
   Marshall, 61.1 %   
   Virginia Tech, 60.4174 %   
   Illinois, 59.3 %   
   Old Dominion, 54.8 %   
   Navy, 44.9303 %   
   Eastern Michigan, 42.3225 %   
   Nebraska, 39.7419 %   
   Florida, 33.6486 %   
   California, 26.8 %   
   Wake Forest, 24.2649 %   
   Central Michigan, 20.2 %   
   BYU, 18.4 %   
   TCU, 15.6 %   
   Army, 14.4329 %   
   Washington State, 11.2 %   
   Ball State, 6.9779 %   
   Middle Tennessee State, 2.0426 %   
   Michigan State, 1.4384 %   
   San Diego State, 0.0012 %   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)