From: mianderson79@gmail.com   
      
   On Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 10:54:32 PM UTC-6, Michael Falkner wrote:   
   > 1) Barring two specific teams winning in late games (Cal is up 6-0 on UCLA   
   early 2nd), the two transitioning ineligibles may be needed after all.    
   >    
   > 2) Conference title games:    
   >    
   > Pac-12: Washington-Oregon (Friday 5 PM Pacific, Las Vegas Allegiant Stadium,   
   ABC)    
   >    
   > Big XII: Oklahoma State-Texas (Saturday 9 AM Pacific, AT&T Stadium, ABC)    
   >    
   > SEC: Alabama-Georgia. (Saturday 1 PM Pacific, Mercedes-Benz Stadium in   
   Atlanta, CBS)    
   >    
   > ACC: Florida State-Louisville (Saturday 5 PM Pacific, Bank of America   
   Stadium in Charlotte, NC, ABC)    
   >    
   > Big Ten: Iowa-Michigan (Saturday 5 PM Pacific, Lucas Oil Stadium in   
   Indianapolis, IN, FOX)    
   >    
   > ***************    
   >    
   > American Athletic: SMU at Tulane (Saturday, 1 PM Pacific, ABC)    
   >    
   > Conference USA: New Mexico State at Liberty (Friday 4 PM Pacific, CBS Sports   
   Network)    
   >    
   > MAC: Miami (OH)-Toledo (Saturday 9 AM Pacific, Ford Field in Detroit, ESPN)    
   >    
   > Sun Belt: Appalachian State at Troy (Saturday 1 PM Pacific, ESPN)    
   >    
   > Mountain West: 12 PM Pacific on FOX, opponents and site to be determined   
   between San Jose State, Boise State, and UNLV by a four-computer composite   
   after all regular-season games finish tonight.    
   >    
   > 3) CFP...    
   >    
   > Start with the easy part: Tulane beats SMU, they go as the Go5. If they   
   lose, Liberty goes if they beat New Mexico State. After that...    
   >    
   > We still do have the potential for four undefeated conference champions in   
   the Power Five: Georgia, Michigan, Washington, Florida State. If all four win,   
   there would almost certainly have to be your four.    
   >    
   > If not...    
   >    
   > Alabama beats Georgia: That would probably be the largest potential to screw   
   an undefeated Florida State. FSU certainly did NOT turn heads in beating   
   Florida tonight, so that might well get a situation where both Alabama and   
   Georgia get in.    
   >    
   > Iowa beats Michigan: Oof. That would probably be the "worst" loss of the   
   four, and would make for a decent case to get Michigan out. And especially if   
   Alabama beats Georgia, that could open the door, say, for all sorts of Top   
   Four chaos, including    
   Texas getting involved if they win.    
   >    
   > Louisville beats Florida State: FSU is eliminated, period-end. They may be   
   ANYWAY if they slog through Louisville and don't do more than just win (would   
   the Committee think, for example, a one-loss Ohio State or even Georgia would   
   be better than this    
   FSU team with the new QB?)    
   >    
   > Oregon beats Washington: That probably is a CFP "Quarterfinal". The winner   
   is in, basically regardless.    
   >    
   > Texas: Needs to win and get help. Probably needs Georgia to win (or Alabama   
   jumps them) and to probably get the nod over Florida State in the discussion   
   of, say, Georgia-Michigan-ORE/WSH winner-#4.    
   >    
   > Alabama: Needs to win and get the good graces of the Committee. Something   
   like Michigan-ORE/WSH winner-Alabama-Georgia or something to that effect.    
   >    
   > Ohio State: Probably needs the weekend to chalk out (Michigan, Georgia,   
   ORE-WSH winner), Texas losing would probably be a significant help, and   
   Florida State continues to muddle. At that point, you could have a discussion   
   between Ohio State and Florida    
   State for #4 -- that's why you need Texas to probably lose.    
      
   no, you really couldn't.....   
      
   FSU would be an undefeated conference champion and have wins over LSU,   
   Clemson, Louisville   
   tOSU would have a loss, wouldn't have won their division, and have wins over   
   Notre dame and penn state   
      
   I don't believe FSU is any good and I would pick tOSU to win that matchup, but   
   the committee looks at things like resume, wins, conference championship   
   status, etc.....and doing so it's clear FSU is getting in if they beat Lville.   
      
   Ohio State's path to the playoffs is very clear:  they need both FSU and Texas   
   to lose next week.  Those things happen and they are in.  Texas just needs FSU   
   to lose.   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)