From: darkstar7646@gmail.com   
      
   On Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 10:28:19 PM UTC-8, michael anderson wrote:   
   > because it is saying Alabama had a 0.1% chance to win(presumably on the play   
   before the 4th down pass for a touchdown).    
   >    
   > There is *no way* that is right. The chance of alabama(or any offense)   
   converting 4th and goal from the 30 yard line is obviously poor, but it's far   
   higher than 1 out of 1000. Even true 50 yard hail marys have a much better   
   chance than that, and this    
   was 20 yards closer and just a long pass and not a hail mary.    
      
   Remember, though, mia -- that's to win the game.   
      
   To do that, Alabama must:   
      
   * convert 4th and goal from the 31   
   * and THEN prevent Auburn from getting a quick tying score and Auburn wins in   
   OT or a quick Auburn winning score   
      
   I think <0.1% is actually correct here.   
      
   Mike   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)