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   rec.sport.football.college      US-style college football      209,580 messages   

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   Message 208,844 of 209,580   
   JGibson to Eric Ramon   
   Re: Championship Game Lines   
   27 Nov 23 05:20:12   
   
   From: james.m.gibson@gmail.com   
      
   On Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 11:50:07 PM UTC-5, Eric Ramon wrote:   
   > On Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 5:29:58 PM UTC-8, JGibson wrote:   
   > > Lines from espn.com, listed from supposed to be the biggest blowout to   
   supposed to be the closest:    
   > >   
   > > Oregon -9.5 vs. Washington    
   >    
   > I do not like this. This is top of the line bulletin board material.   
      
   I knew Oregon would be the favorite, but I was surprised at how much.  Using   
   Sagarin Predictor, Oregon would be a 6 point favorite.  I am curious about   
   doing this a pretty naïve way, by simply comparing all their common opponents   
   and then using a 3    
   point advantage for the home team:   
      
   Washington 59, California 32 - Washington is 24 points better than Cal   
   Washington 36, Oregon 33 - Washington and Oregon are even   
   Washington 15, Arizona State 7 - Washington is 5 points better than Arizona   
   State   
   Washington 42, Stanford 33 - Washington is 6 points better than Stanford   
   Washington 52, USC 42 - Washington is 13 points better than USC   
   Washington 35, Utah 28 - Washington is 4 points better than Utah   
   Washington 22, Oregon State 20 - Washington is 5 points better than Oregon   
   State   
   Washington 24, Washington State 21 - Washington and Washington State are even   
      
   Oregon 42, Stanford 6 - Oregon is 39 points better than Stanford   
   Oregon 38, Washington State 24 - Oregon is 11 points better than Washington   
   State   
   Oregon 35, Utah 6 - Oregon is 32 points better than Utah   
   Oregon 63, California 19 - Oregon is 41 points better than Cal   
   Oregon 36, USC 27 - Oregon is 6 points better than USC   
   Oregon 49, Arizona State 13 - Oregon is 39 points better than Arizona State   
   Oregon 31, Oregon State 7 - Oregon is 21 points better than Oregon State   
      
   Washington played Arizona and Oregon played Colorado, so those teams are not   
   common opponents.   
      
   By opponent:   
   Cal: Oregon is 17 points better than Washington   
   Arizona State: Oregon is 34 points better than Washington   
   Stanford: Oregon is 33 points better than Washington   
   USC: Washington is 7 points better than Oregon [the only one where Washington   
   has the advantage]   
   Utah: Oregon is 29 points better than Washington   
   Oregon State: Oregon is 16 points better than Washington   
   Washington State: Oregon is 11 points better than Washington   
   Against each other: they were even   
      
   Average: Oregon is 16 points better than Washington   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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