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|    rec.sport.football.college    |    US-style college football    |    209,580 messages    |
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|    Message 208,844 of 209,580    |
|    JGibson to Eric Ramon    |
|    Re: Championship Game Lines    |
|    27 Nov 23 05:20:12    |
      From: james.m.gibson@gmail.com              On Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 11:50:07 PM UTC-5, Eric Ramon wrote:       > On Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 5:29:58 PM UTC-8, JGibson wrote:       > > Lines from espn.com, listed from supposed to be the biggest blowout to       supposed to be the closest:        > >       > > Oregon -9.5 vs. Washington        >        > I do not like this. This is top of the line bulletin board material.              I knew Oregon would be the favorite, but I was surprised at how much. Using       Sagarin Predictor, Oregon would be a 6 point favorite. I am curious about       doing this a pretty naïve way, by simply comparing all their common opponents       and then using a 3        point advantage for the home team:              Washington 59, California 32 - Washington is 24 points better than Cal       Washington 36, Oregon 33 - Washington and Oregon are even       Washington 15, Arizona State 7 - Washington is 5 points better than Arizona       State       Washington 42, Stanford 33 - Washington is 6 points better than Stanford       Washington 52, USC 42 - Washington is 13 points better than USC       Washington 35, Utah 28 - Washington is 4 points better than Utah       Washington 22, Oregon State 20 - Washington is 5 points better than Oregon       State       Washington 24, Washington State 21 - Washington and Washington State are even              Oregon 42, Stanford 6 - Oregon is 39 points better than Stanford       Oregon 38, Washington State 24 - Oregon is 11 points better than Washington       State       Oregon 35, Utah 6 - Oregon is 32 points better than Utah       Oregon 63, California 19 - Oregon is 41 points better than Cal       Oregon 36, USC 27 - Oregon is 6 points better than USC       Oregon 49, Arizona State 13 - Oregon is 39 points better than Arizona State       Oregon 31, Oregon State 7 - Oregon is 21 points better than Oregon State              Washington played Arizona and Oregon played Colorado, so those teams are not       common opponents.              By opponent:       Cal: Oregon is 17 points better than Washington       Arizona State: Oregon is 34 points better than Washington       Stanford: Oregon is 33 points better than Washington       USC: Washington is 7 points better than Oregon [the only one where Washington       has the advantage]       Utah: Oregon is 29 points better than Washington       Oregon State: Oregon is 16 points better than Washington       Washington State: Oregon is 11 points better than Washington       Against each other: they were even              Average: Oregon is 16 points better than Washington              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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