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|    Message 208,861 of 209,580    |
|    JGibson to All    |
|    Teams 9,10,11,12    |
|    29 Nov 23 07:31:36    |
      From: james.m.gibson@gmail.com              So, this is actually an important debate for NY6 games. With the G5 spot and       also Louisville's slot in the Orange Bowl, you're going to need to be top 10       to get a NY6 slot. Teams 9 through 12 seem to clearly be Missouri,       Mississippi, Penn State, and        Oklahoma. But the order is not so clear cut.               On Joby's Football Nitty Gritty (which is best simulation of the committee I       could find), they have: 9. Missouri, 10. Oklahoma, 11. Penn State, 12.       Mississippi. The actual CFP rankings go 9. Missouri, 10. Penn State, 11.       Mississippi, 12. Oklahoma. ESPN'       s SOR has it as 8. Mississippi (with Oregon 9th), 10. Missouri, 11. Penn       State, 12. Oklahoma. Dolphin Standard, which is built on essentially the same       principles as ESPN's SOR has 9. Oklahoma, 10. Missouri, 11. Penn State, 12.       Mississippi              Looking at those 4 based on best wins and all losses:       Mississippi:       Best wins: Tulane, LSU       Losses: Alabama, Georgia              Penn State:       Best wins: Iowa, West Virginia       Losses: Ohio State, Michigan              Missouri:       Best wins: Kansas State, Tennessee       Losses: LSU, Georgia              Oklahoma:       Best wins: Texas, West Virginia       Losses: Kansas, Oklahoma State              Oklahoma has the best win (Texas) but also the worst losses. Oklahoma's win       over WVU, Missouri's win over Tennessee and Penn State's win over Iowa were       quite dominant, whereas Mississippi's wins weren't as dominant.              Basically, you could flip a coin.              Let's looks at the consequences of not getting in the NY6:       Penn State: drops to the Citrus Bowl against an SEC team       Mississippi / Missouri: drops to the Citrus Bowl against Big Ten team, if       both, then the next one would go to the ReliaQuest (formerly Outback) Bowl       against ACC team.       Oklahoma: would drop to the Alamo Bowl, presumably against Arizona (Washington       and Oregon should both be in the NY6).              The dropoff for Oklahoma seems worse than for the others. And if you drop one       SEC team and not the other, you can have a not quite NY6 game in the Citrus       Bowl between Penn State and the one that didn't make it between Missouri and       Mississippi.              Of course, all this assumes Texas beats Oklahoma State and Michigan beats Iowa       because if those teams lose, then OK State and Iowa get automatic slots into       the NY6, and now you'd have to finish top 8 and not just top 10.              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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