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   Message 208,861 of 209,580   
   JGibson to All   
   Teams 9,10,11,12   
   29 Nov 23 07:31:36   
   
   From: james.m.gibson@gmail.com   
      
   So, this is actually an important debate for NY6 games.  With the G5 spot and   
   also Louisville's slot in the Orange Bowl, you're going to need to be top 10   
   to get a NY6 slot.  Teams 9 through 12 seem to clearly be Missouri,   
   Mississippi, Penn State, and    
   Oklahoma.  But the order is not so clear cut.     
      
   On Joby's Football Nitty Gritty (which is best simulation of the committee I   
   could find), they have: 9. Missouri, 10. Oklahoma, 11. Penn State, 12.   
   Mississippi.  The actual CFP rankings go 9. Missouri, 10. Penn State, 11.   
   Mississippi, 12. Oklahoma.  ESPN'   
   s SOR has it as 8. Mississippi (with Oregon 9th), 10. Missouri, 11. Penn   
   State, 12. Oklahoma.  Dolphin Standard, which is built on essentially the same   
   principles as ESPN's SOR has 9. Oklahoma, 10. Missouri, 11. Penn State, 12.   
   Mississippi   
      
   Looking at those 4 based on best wins and all losses:   
   Mississippi:   
   Best wins: Tulane, LSU   
   Losses: Alabama, Georgia   
      
   Penn State:   
   Best wins: Iowa, West Virginia   
   Losses: Ohio State, Michigan   
      
   Missouri:   
   Best wins: Kansas State, Tennessee   
   Losses: LSU, Georgia   
      
   Oklahoma:   
   Best wins: Texas, West Virginia   
   Losses: Kansas, Oklahoma State   
      
   Oklahoma has the best win (Texas) but also the worst losses.  Oklahoma's win   
   over WVU, Missouri's win over Tennessee and Penn State's win over Iowa were   
   quite dominant, whereas Mississippi's wins weren't as dominant.   
      
   Basically, you could flip a coin.   
      
   Let's looks at the consequences of not getting in the NY6:   
   Penn State: drops to the Citrus Bowl against an SEC team   
   Mississippi / Missouri: drops to the Citrus Bowl against Big Ten team, if   
   both, then the next one would go to the ReliaQuest (formerly Outback) Bowl   
   against ACC team.   
   Oklahoma: would drop to the Alamo Bowl, presumably against Arizona (Washington   
   and Oregon should both be in the NY6).   
      
   The dropoff for Oklahoma seems worse than for the others.  And if you drop one   
   SEC team and not the other, you can have a not quite NY6 game in the Citrus   
   Bowl between Penn State and the one that didn't make it between Missouri and   
   Mississippi.   
      
   Of course, all this assumes Texas beats Oklahoma State and Michigan beats Iowa   
   because if those teams lose, then OK State and Iowa get automatic slots into   
   the NY6, and now you'd have to finish top 8 and not just top 10.   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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