From: james.m.gibson@gmail.com   
      
   On Saturday, December 2, 2023 at 10:46:50 PM UTC-5, Eric Ramon wrote:   
   > On Saturday, December 2, 2023 at 7:24:36 PM UTC-8, Michael Falkner wrote:    
   > > Disqualify Michigan for the Big Ten's findings, and it's a pretty simple   
   four:    
   > >    
   > > Washington    
   > > Texas    
   > > Alabama    
   > > Georgia    
   > >    
   > > Mike   
   > I don't think Georgia has a case but I do agree that FSU looks pretty bad,   
   even if they do win this game. Smart is saying "best four teams". Ok.   
   Washington, Oregon and two others.   
      
   According to ESPN FPI, the 4 best are Michigan, Ohio State, Penn State, and   
   Oregon.   
   According to Dolphin Predictive, the 4 best are Michigan, Oregon, Ohio State,   
   and Penn State.   
   According to Sagarin Predictor, the 4 best are Michigan, Oregon, Ohio State,   
   and Penn State.   
      
   Of course the fact that all 3 of those have Oregon in their top 4 and don't   
   have Washington shows the exact folly of "4 best".  Why was Oregon a 9.5 point   
   favorite over Washington?  Because based on comparative scores and how they   
   did in their other    
   games, Oregon seemed to be a better team than Washington.  Even if UW and UO   
   were to line up again tomorrow on a neutral field, Oregon would probably be   
   the favorite again, although not by as much as 9.5  But nobody is going to   
   suggest that Oregon should    
   be in the playoffs over Washington.   
      
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