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|    rec.arts.sf.science    |    Real and speculative aspects of SF scien    |    45,986 messages    |
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|    Message 44,333 of 45,986    |
|    Mikkel Haaheim to All    |
|    JP & Doc L's Flying Car Debate    |
|    23 Sep 16 01:43:24    |
      From: mikkelhaaheim@gmail.com              I am starting this thread in response to the rather side-bar discussion from       the thread for the arbitrarily long nanotube article. In essence, Doc think       that the flying car concept is perpetually impractical hogwash, and Jim       disagree's.       I have three principle reasons for beginning this new thread... beside's the       fact that I was incommunicado throughought the bulk of the discussion while it       was taking place.       1) I find the prospectof flying cars to be inherently interesting, and think       that the discussion desrves it's own theatre. Regardless of Doc's opinions       regarding the concept itself, I don't think he would disagree too much       (subconsciously, at least) with        this evaluation, given his investment in trying to persuade others that the       concept is not worth investigating.       2) The topic reall has very little to do with arbitrarily long nanotubes, and       less to do with the subject of space elevators... which started the whole       argument in the first place.       3)I wanted to take a step back to summarise some of the main points, clean up       the argument, and add my own 3 cents worth (inflation and mark-downs).                     ..........              Doc (paraphrasing, of course):       Flying cars are a stupid idea because no one in their right mind would be       interested in one, it is a bad idea that will never have a market (and is       therefor no more than sci-fi mythology), and it is inherently impractical. Why       would you subject a plane        to the wear & tear of a car, and to the resulting unreliability? Why would you       need to have a flying car when you will need to drive it to the airport       anyway? Why would people want a flying car if they need pilot's licenses just       to drive it? Why would        people allow flying cars when it increases the risk of cars falling into their       homes? There is no such thing as a flying car in the real world, and there       never will be.              Jim:       Doc is a short sighted, narrow minded idiot. Flying cars are real, and have       been since the 1930s... they just haven't made it to market for mass       consumption. There are currently a lot of impracticalities and hindrances, but       there is nothing that says        they will always remain so. People have always made similar arguments whenever       anything new was created. Flying cars do not exist yet because of economic       factors... that is all.                     ..........              I don't always agree with Jim, but I have to lean toward siding with him on       this matter. OTOH, Jim is oversmplifying things a little. He isn't wrong. He       just doesn't go into all the detail about the economics involved... and I am       not certain he really        knows, himself.              Doc is correct in that there are a number of questions and obstacles that must       be addressed. However, he appears to be somewhat ignorant in the nature of       bureaucracy.       Yes, there is a risk for unreliability due to wear and tear. Flying cars will       have to go through environment strains that planes simply aren't built for. So       what? Designers and builders will take those stresses and strains into       account. So will the law.        You probably won't have the same maintenance schedules that commercial and       private airlines are subject to, but there will likely be mandatory insurance       coverage and routine maintenance certification checks (probably once a year,       perhaps longer for more        detailed inspections involving less critical components).       People are not going to want to have to go to the airport. So a civil       infrastructure to support flying car traffic will have to be built. This is       not unprecidented. The same thing has been true for electric cars. Guess what?       ... I envision something like        a widening of straightaway sections of freeway to include landing and take-off       lanes for flying cars. These lanes will be barricaded from regular traffic       (like many commuter traffic lanes), except for entry and exit points, to       prevent interference from        unlawful passing or lane changes. There will also be markings and lights,       viewable from the air, indicating lawful "holding zone" patterns for heavy       traffic conditions, and "traffic lights" only viewable from the approach       vector (similar to on-ramp        traffic lights) indicating when it is safe to commit to land. There will also       be other designated air-strips built adjacent to common city streets, with       much the same features. As flying car traffic increases, so will the number of       such accomodations.       With flying cars will come new license classifications, and new regulations.       There will be new systems of markings and lighting to mark legal traffic       zones. There will be new regulations for "right of way" traffic. There will be       regulations for        authorised altitude zones, etc. Your drivers' licenses will have something       like a class "FC" for flying car authorisation, and "CFC" for commercial       flying car traffic (flying taxis and courriers, etc). You will not be       authorised to fly planes.       Required insurance means that if a car falls into a home, the insurance will       cover all damages and injuries. Routine inspection and certification       requirements will help to ensure that such accidents don't happen because of       technical problems. A certain        level of inspection will be the daily responsibility of the pilot, just as       daily car inspection is for a driver. If there is a technical problem       resulting from the neglect of a piolt, it will be the responsibility of the       pilot, just as maintenance        problems for cars are considered the fault of the driver. Apart from that,       there is very little that protects houses from cars driving into them. The       likelihood of a flying car crashing into a house is no more than that of a car       crashing into the house        from the surface.       Jim is correct to point out that flying cars exist, even if they have not       (yet) achieved marketing. The fact that more companies continue to pursue the       venture is an indication that it is not myth. So long as people continue       trying, it will eventually        become a fact. Some factors such as automatic piloting will make it even more       feasible.              What Jim misses is that it is not just a matter of the economics of designing,       bulding, marketing, and operating the FC itself. There is also the economics       of building a suitable infrastructure. Furthermore, there is the economics of       manipulating law to        provide for the authorised operation of FCs. It will not be easy.              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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