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|    Message 45,465 of 45,986    |
|    David Ellis to All    |
|    Re: Hiding (or disguising) an ICBM or La    |
|    11 Jun 18 09:48:29    |
      From: daellis94@gmail.com              Yeah, regarding the satellite questions, at least the US made sure it could       provide global coverage with satellites meant to monitor for the IR given off       by an ICBM launch. It's really mostly a matter of having enough in orbit at       any one time to have        eyes on any potential launch point.               Determining whether or not a threat is an ICBM is generally a matter of       tracking an unexpected launch, usually by way of radar, in order to determine       more about its trajectory, point of origin, and whether its trajectory takes       it over any likely        strategic targets. It also matters that ICBMs typically have trajectories       that take them considerably higher than LEO, so depending on how early you       will be able to see the craft on radar in real-time, it should be apparent       fairly quickly that the        launch is probably not an LEO satellite launch.               Having real-time coverage by way of radar makes satellite radar rather       difficult to make effective use of, although synthetic aperture radar is used       on orbital platforms for naval reconnaissance and other such applications       where some lag between a scan        and delivery of information is acceptable or inevitable. As far as I am       aware, though, most of the actual TRACKING of a detected object would happen       by way of ground-based early-warning radar, like the PAVE PAWS array in North       America.               The most effective way of surprising launch detection systems seems to be       using depressed trajectories, although these severely restrict the range to       which an ICBM can deliver its payload, and they put significant aerodynamic       stresses on the structure of        the missile, so depressed trajectories may not be particularly feasible for       some ICBMs, particularly older models.               Even so, depressed trajectory launches are something that ballistic missile       submarines are theoretically excellent for taking advantage of, since you can       launch from as close to your target as you can possibly get, and an SSBN is a       very difficult threat        to counter.               Countering bombers and land-based ICBMs in a strategic first-strike scenario       is rather simple; you just fire your nuclear weapons at enemy air fields and       silo fields or silos command centers (usually the latter). Whether the enemy       can fire off his        arsenal before your warheads arrive is another question, of course, but either       way, the most survivable component of the nuclear triad is, and has always       been, the ballistic missile submarine. Unlike air fields and silos, they       move, so interception        requires a direct detection of the target you want to sink. Because of       depressed trajectories, they are also the most effective offensive arm in a       first-strike scenario, since they maximize the probability that your warheads       will arrive before the enemy        can respond with launches of his own.               To my knowledge, hiding an ICBM or SLBM launch completely is nigh impossible,       but disguising it, while not out of the realm of possibility, mostly requires       that whoever is looking isn't really paying attention. The best you can hope       for is to minimize        an opponent's available reaction time and keep his radar from detecting your       incoming weapons for as long as possible.              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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