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   rec.arts.sf.misc      Science fiction lovers' newsgroup      3,290 messages   

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   Message 2,170 of 3,290   
   Robert Bannister to J. Clarke   
   Re: cases where SF has predicted scienti   
   14 Jan 14 11:21:26   
   
   XPost: rec.arts.sf.written, rec.arts.sf.science   
   From: robban@clubtelco.com   
      
   On 13/01/2014 11:13 pm, J. Clarke wrote:   
   > In article , robban@clubtelco.com   
   > says...   
   >>   
   >> On 13/01/2014 11:07 am, J. Clarke wrote:   
   >>> In article ,   
   >>> droleary@8usenet2013.subsume.com says...   
   >>>>   
   >>>> In article ,   
   >>>>    Greg Goss  wrote:   
   >>>>   
   >>>>> Doc O'Leary  wrote:   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>>> problems than they've solved.  Same goes for this self-driving nonsense;   
   >>>>>> it makes no sense to turn cars into trains via software.  Use a train if   
   >>>>>> you want a train; you could've been doing that for over a century.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>> Trains and planes are a nuisance because you have no flexibility once   
   >>>>> you get near your destination.   
   >>>>   
   >>>> That is only what you have come to know based on the current, flawed   
   >>>> implementation of those technologies.  These are sci-fi newsgroups, so   
   >>>> I'm asking you to engage in future thinking.  You have to engage in the   
   >>>> world building exercise that imagines superior technologies as actually   
   >>>> existing and in common place usage, with all the connected changes they   
   >>>> imply.   
   >>>>   
   >>>> One example for flying cars: what *does* make sense as a destination?   
   >>>> How far can you fly with it, and how much do you still have to drive?   
   >>>> Like I said, why would you drive much at all?  And does it make sense to   
   >>>> have the destination as a parking garage, only to have to still get down   
   >>>> to ground level, walk to an office building, and wait for an elevator   
   >>>> ride to get back up to the same height you flew in at?  The technology   
   >>>> forces you to reconsider everything about how people live.   
   >>>   
   >>> No, the technology has to fit how people live.  Maybe 100 years after   
   >>> everybody has flying cars the infrastructure would have been altered to   
   >>> accommodate them but they aren't going to tear down every building in   
   >>> the world and rebuild it for flying cars the first time somebody buys   
   >>> one.   
   >>>   
   >>>>> Generally people on planes either rent   
   >>>>> a car when they get there, or mooch transportation from the people   
   >>>>> that they're visiting.   
   >>>>   
   >>>> Because, generally, what makes a plane air-worthy can be compromised by   
   >>>> driving around in traffic.  Point being, any new technology that makes   
   >>>> sense in creating a flying car must *necessarily* be first proven   
   >>>> effective in creating better planes.  If you're not seeing that, and   
   >>>> we're not, you won't be seeing flying cars any time soon.  Simple as   
   >>>> that.   
   >>>   
   >>> Why does technology that makes sense in creating a flying car have to   
   >>> "be effective in creating better planes"?  There's no need for a Mach 25   
   >>> scramjet in a flying car.   
   >>>   
   >>>>> Building a virtual train out of self-driving bits?  That's kinda like   
   >>>>> building an internet by making self-driving packets.  It'll never   
   >>>>> work.   
   >>>>   
   >>>> I don't even understand the analogy you're trying to make.  Self-driving   
   >>>> cars *are* a virtual train.   
   >>>   
   >>> Only if there are dozens of them in a line on the same highway.   
   >>>   
   >>>> There are some advantages they might have   
   >>>> over a physical train, but many disadvantages, too.  My point simply is   
   >>>> that it's not futuristic technology to combine two existing vehicle   
   >>>> types, be it car-plane or car-train, certainly not simply because the   
   >>>> "rails" are done in software instead of hardware.  I think it'll work   
   >>>> just fine, if you throw enough resources at the problem, but the more   
   >>>> sensible thing to do would be to use physical rails so that you don't   
   >>>> *need* to waste those resources tackling what is a solved problem.   
   >>>   
   >>> So you're going to run rails to everybody's house, everybody's job, ever   
   >>> shopping center, every empty field?   
   >>   
   >> One of the problems I see with all city planning of roads, inner-city   
   >> freeways and public transport is the assumption that most people want to   
   >> come in from outer suburbs to the centre of the city, whereas many of   
   >> them want to cross the city to the other side or circle round to another   
   >> suburb. True, some cities have a ring road or circular bus route, but   
   >> the into the middle and then out again idea seems to prevail.   
   >> Were it not for this, then the rails, real or virtual, would simply be   
   >> for our current major roads.   
   >   
   > There is a railroad station between my house and my current work.  The   
   > trouble is that I have to drive 20 minutes to get there, and the train   
   > puts me a mile from work, with a total transit time of more than an   
   > hour.  Further, it doesn't arrive or leave at times convenient to my   
   > working hours.  Driving directly to work is 30 minutes and I end up   
   > across the street from work.  And I have to pay more for the train   
   > ticket than the cost of gas.  So why would it be to my benefit to use a   
   > train for any part of my commute?   
   >   
   > If you have people going from one densely populated location to another,   
   > or if the commute is long, then the train makes sense--this is why the   
   > Long Island Railroad and Conrail work--they are carrying commuters 20-50   
   > miles into one of the most densely populated areas on Earth.  When the   
   > population density is low and the commute is short, the train is just a   
   > waste of resources.   
   >   
   > I know train fans love trains, but the fact is that the circumstances   
   > under which they make economic sense are limited.   
   >   
      
   That's what the conservatives said about rail in my city. Now the   
   no-longer-quite-new trains are packed and are much faster than you could   
   possibly drive and cheaper than using a car. It's the parking at the   
   train station that is the problem.   
      
   --   
   Robert Bannister - 1940-71 SE England   
                       1972-now W Australia   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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