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   rec.arts.sf.misc      Science fiction lovers' newsgroup      3,290 messages   

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   Message 2,644 of 3,290   
   Robert Bannister to Your Name   
   Re: cases where SF has predicted scienti   
   22 Jan 14 11:42:41   
   
   XPost: rec.arts.sf.written, rec.arts.sf.science   
   From: robban@clubtelco.com   
      
   On 21/01/2014 2:09 pm, Your Name wrote:   
   > In article , Robert Bannister   
   >  wrote:   
   >> On 20/01/2014 1:34 pm, Your Name wrote:   
   >>> In article , Robert Bannister   
   >>>  wrote:   
   >>>> On 19/01/2014 7:52 pm, Thomas Koenig wrote:   
   >>>>> Robert Bannister  schrieb:   
   >>>>>>   
   >>>>>> In fact, towards the end of the 19th century the traffic situation with   
   >>>>>> horse-drawn vehicles was as bad if not worse than today. There are a few   
   >>>>>> photographs and drawings around of grid lock in London and elsewhere.   
   >>>>>> Road accidents were also very common. No speedometers or speed limits   
   >>>>>> back then.   
   >>>>>   
   >>>>> There were also a lot of cases of sudden acceleration (many more than   
   >>>>> with today's cars).  Traffic accidents were much more frequent as   
   >>>>> a result.   
   >>>>   
   >>>> Although car drivers are no better and often worse than carriage   
   >>>> drivers, at least cars don't get spooked by trivial noises or movements.   
   >>>   
   >>> Maybe not, but a driver can be spooked and lose control of the car.   
   >>> Plus a car usually weighs quite a bit more and goes faster ...   
   >>> therefore causing more damage.   
   >>   
   >> I'm not so sure about a loaded cart being lighter.   
   >   
   > A loaded cart should technically be compared to a van or truck, rather   
   > than a car.   
   >   
   >   
   >   
   >> I'll concede the speed, although some young aristocrats in their light,   
   >> but speedy 2-wheelers could set a cracking pace and who cares about the   
   >> peasants?   
   >   
   > You'd find it difficult to get a horse (with or without a cart) going   
   > at 100km/h along a suburban street though ... but most cars on the   
   > other hand can easily do that, if illegally in most places.   
      
   A horse and carriage hitting you at 30 kph will be quite sufficient to   
   kill you. The horses shod hooves and the narrow, iron-shod wheels should   
   give you the coup de grāce.   
   >   
   >   
   >   
   >>> Cars can also of course have unexpected problems, whether mechanically   
   >>> or due to road / weather conditions (for example if the driver doesn't   
   >>> know or see oil spilt on the road). Or the driver for some reason   
   >>> health reason loses control (heart attack, passes out, etc.)   
   >>   
   >> These, plus the reasons I have snipped, could all have happened to the   
   >> drivers of carriages and carts,   
   >   
   > I'm not sure there would be much oil on the roads used in the days of   
   > just horses, and even if the cart driver suffered a health problem, the   
   > horse is more likely to stop by itself than a car can (in fact a good   
   > horse could safely carry on to the destination or home).   
      
   Many stories told about bakers and milkmen who were allegedly carried   
   from door to door and finally to the pub while their drivers were dead.   
   All the same, the amount of horse and human dung, bits of rotting meat,   
   mud, etc. on your average Victorian road would surely provide a surface   
   worse than an oil slick. Horse will certainly stop, but they don't have   
   powered disc brakes and they cannot stop as fast as a car. In fact, a   
   horse's reaction to danger is usually to run away from it rather than stop.   
   >   
   > Which simply proves what I said at the start, horses are just as safe   
   > (or unsafe) as any other form of transport.   
   >   
   >   
   >   
   >> although I expect any kids throwing rocks from a bridge would have been   
   >> caught and given summary justice.   
   >   
   > They certainly used to (and likely still do) throw things off bridges   
   > at trains going underneath.   
      
   We used to balance stones and pennies on the rails.   
   --   
   Robert Bannister - 1940-71 SE England   
                       1972-now W Australia   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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