From: petertrei@gmail.com   
      
   On 1/21/2026 12:33 PM, Christian Weisgerber wrote:   
   > On 2026-01-19, Lynn McGuire  wrote:   
   >   
   >> I am horribly wondering if the tritium in Russia's ICBMs is still good.   
   >   
   > Tritium has a civilian market.  *Glances at watch face*  So there's   
   > incentive to syphon off tritium and sell it.  That said, as far as   
   > I know, a tritium-boosted warhead will still explode without tritium,   
   > it just has a lower yield.   
   >   
   > There's the question how much the delivery systems have deteriorated,   
   > e.g. whether the ICBMs would still make it out of the silo.  But   
   > Russia has a lot of nuclear-capable delivery systems--all the   
   > ballistic and cruise missles they shoot at Ukraine are nuclear-capable--   
   > so I expect they would be able to field _some_ working ones.   
   >   
   >> Russia has not tested a nuclear weapon since 1990.  I would very much   
   >> not like seeing them testing a few of them on Berlin.   
   >   
   > I live about 60 km downwind of Ramstein Air Base...   
   >   
      
   Russia had ICBM test launch failures in Dec 2025, Sept 2024,   
   and Feb 2023. All were thought to be the newish 'Sarmat' ICBM. It   
   did have one successful launch, in 2022. Sarmat was intended to   
   replace the aging R-36M2 ICBM.   
      
   But also of concern is the Oreshnik IRBM. It can carry 3 MIRV   
   warheads, and has actually been used (without payloads) against   
   Ukraine. So, its working, and can reach most of Europe.   
      
   https://www.youtube.com/shorts/bnIvhRonYL4   
      
   pt   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)