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|    U.S. economy will collapse by 2026 on Tr    |
|    11 Feb 26 02:34:03    |
      XPost: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh       From: xd@y.com              U.S. economy will collapse by 2026 on Trump’s tariffs, says Morgan Stanley                             Trump’s planned tariffs, including up to 100% on Chinese goods, will       spike inflation and slow U.S. economic growth by 2026, says Morgan Stanley.        Key industries like cars, electronics, and retail will see costs       skyrocket, with companies passing those costs to consumers.        China’s President Xi Jinping is rallying global leaders against Trump’s       tariffs, warning they could destabilize global trade and deepen China’s       economic struggles.              Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs will throw the U.S. economy into chaos by       2026. Morgan Stanley’s chief global economist, Seth Carpenter, says these       tariffs are a surefire way to drive up inflation and tank growth.              The plan is to slap a 10% to 20% tariff on all imports and hike up to 100%       on goods coming in from China. Trump says it’s all about “extracting funds”       from other countries. Economists say it’s more like slashing your own tires       and calling it a shortcut.              Carpenter predicts a “big negative shock” if these tariffs hit all at once.       Speaking at Morgan Stanley’s Asia Pacific Summit, he warned that even a       gradual rollout would choke the economy over time.              “Tariffs are a drag on growth for the U.S., not just the countries       targeted.” According to Carpenter, 2025 will see the start of the fallout,       but by 2026, the damage will be impossible to reverse.       How the tariffs will wreck everything              If Trump adds his tariffs to the ones Joe Biden already has in place, the       U.S. economy will be hit on multiple fronts. Industries like cars, consumer       electronics, machinery, construction, and retail will see prices surge. And       no, companies won’t eat the extra costs—they’ll hand those right to the       consumer.              Take Trump’s proposed 60% tariff on Chinese goods. Pair that with Biden’s       100% tariff on electric vehicles from China, and you’ve got a recipe for       disaster in the auto industry.              Higher import costs will bleed into companies like Apple and Microsoft,       which depend on global supply chains. The ripple effect? Price hikes on       phones, computers, and pretty much everything else you buy.              The consumer price index ticked up 2.6% in October from the previous year,       slightly more than September’s 2.4%. Inflation is slowing after years of       chaos, but if Trump’s tariffs land, say goodbye to that progress.       See also Trump says "If I want Jerome Powell out of the Federal Reserve,       he'll be out"              The Federal Reserve has been cutting rates to keep the economy alive.       Tariffs could undo all that work, warns Ben Emons, founder of FedWatch       Advisors. Markets might even price out rate cuts entirely in 2025 if       inflation spikes again. Growth will slow, interest rates will freeze, and       the economy could spiral.       China’s next move              Trump’s tariff hammer has left China scrambling. At back-to-back global       summits, Chinese President Xi Jinping has been on a mission to save what’s       left of international trade.              His message? Don’t follow Trump down this path. Xi wants to rally global       leaders around free trade, claiming Trump’s tariffs will wreck not just       U.S.-China relations but the entire global economy.              At the G-20 and APEC summits, Xi repeated one thing: stop building walls,       start tearing them down. He’s desperate to prevent other countries from       jumping on Trump’s protectionist bandwagon. The man is playing the long       game, trying to position himself as the adult in the room while making       Trump’s administration look reckless.              Xi’s also been meeting leaders nonstop, from German Chancellor Olaf Scholz       to French President Emmanuel Macron. The goal? Stop trade wars before they       start. Xi even pleaded with Europe to drop its tariffs on Chinese electric       vehicles.              Meanwhile, in South America, Xi is building alliances left and right. He       opened a $1.3 billion port in Peru and talked trade with Mexico and       Argentina. Leaders there seem eager to cozy up to China, especially if       Trump’s tariffs cut off U.S. trade opportunities.              China’s economy isn’t exactly thriving though. Manufacturing growth is at       its highest since World War II, but the country’s facing a real estate       crisis and deflation. Trump’s tariffs could shave several percentage points       off China’s GDP, pushing an already struggling economy closer to the edge.       See also China orders officials to halt all Boeing orders, next trade war       weapon              Goldman Sachs says this might force China to focus on domestic consumption,       something its leaders have resisted for decades.       What’s next for the U.S. and its allies?              While Xi’s on a charm offensive, America’s allies are in a tough spot.       Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau has already voiced concerns about       Chinese investments in Mexico. He’s hinted that Canada might tariff Chinese       goods too, especially in the electric vehicle space.              Australia’s Anthony Albanese also emphasized that his country’s loyalty       lies with the U.S., not China. Then there’s the U.K. Prime Minister Keir       Starmer. He’s trying to smooth things over with China while tackling tough       topics like Taiwan, Hong Kong’s democracy movement, and human rights       abuses.              In one heated meeting, Chinese officials even kicked British journalists       out of the room after Starmer hit a nerve. It’s clear that tensions aren’t       easing anytime soon.              Domestically, Trump’s tariffs could backfire politically. While his base       might cheer the “America First” rhetoric, industries and workers will bear       the brunt. Higher prices on cars, electronics, and everyday goods could       turn supporters against him, especially in swing states.              Manufacturers relying on imports will have to cut costs somewhere, and that       usually means layoffs. Xi, meanwhile, is playing both sides. On one hand,       he’s pushing back against U.S. aggression.              On the other, he’s trying to calm the room, insisting China doesn’t want       conflict. During a meeting with Biden, Xi said China wouldn’t sit by if its       strategic interests were threatened.              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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