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|    Message 255,575 of 255,659    |
|    ScottW to All    |
|    Joe has managed to revise the interest i    |
|    08 Feb 24 10:45:46    |
      From: ScottW48@hotmail.com              Mention the government’s annual revisions to seasonal adjustment factors for       monthly inflation data and you’re likely to make eyes glaze over, even among       hardcore economics nerds. Not this year.              Economists on Wall Street and in Washington will be tuning in for this       year’s update, due Friday morning, because of what happened a year ago: The       revisions to the consumer price index — typically small and therefore       ignored — were large enough to        cast doubt on overall inflation progress.       Last year’s tweaks hit with a bang.               Initial readings had shown consumer prices excluding food and energy — an       important gauge of inflation’s underlying trend, closely watched by the Fed       — had risen by just 3.1% on an annualized basis in the final three months of       2022, down from 8% in        the same period of 2021.              That positive signal proved a head fake. After the revisions, the 3.1% was       recalculated at a meaningfully higher 4.3%. And four days later, core CPI for       January came in at an annualized 5.1%. Suddenly the tone around inflation, and       the outlook for rates,        had shifted.              Fast forward a year and Friday’s release is receiving an unusual amount of       attention, even as some economists are trying to tamp down the drama.              Bidenomics, nothing but bad drama.              ScottW              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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