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   rec.autos.tech      Technical aspects of automobiles, et. al      117,728 messages   

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   Message 115,798 of 117,728   
   Arlen Holder to In response to what   
   Re: Suuggestion For Passenger & LT Tire    
   16 May 20 00:03:37   
   
   From: arlenholder@any1example.com   
      
   In response to what  wrote :   
      
   > Just to be clear: My concern about "maximum pressure" in a tire has nothing   
   > to with mounting/seating pressure.  But everything to do with which source   
   > people(like my younger self!) went by, and continue to go by, when adjusting   
   > the tire pressures on their daily drives(to work, school, church, vacation,   
   the   
   > store, etc.).   
      
   Intuition...   
      
   I understand that you feel they shouldn't even put the maximum cold   
   inflation pressure on the sidewall of a tire...   
      
   I think perhaps maybe there are different kinds of people...   
   a. Those who make decisions strongly based on facts   
   b. Those who make decisions strongly based on intuition   
      
   While almost every decision is a _mix_ of intuition and fact, what I'm   
   ascribing to your issue with the max pressures is a combination of the two,   
   where some people defer more to one than to the other.   
      
   As an example, I'm extremely well educated, so I'm rather well aware that   
   even brilliantly smart people (e.g., Einstein) were proven wrong when they   
   used only their intuition (he was right in a lot of stuff using only his   
   intuition but he was wrong about half the time also).   
      
   None of us are smarter than Einstein, and yet, he was dead wrong about half   
   the time, where he, himself, said his "greatest blunder" was what we now   
   call the "Hubble constant", which, interestingly, he _predicted_ in a   
   sense, intuitively, and yet, his intuition got the better of him in the   
   end.   
      
   My point is that intuitive people are wrong about half the time, and yet,   
   they're right about half the time - which is what I think plays a key role   
   in why you're kind of upset about these maximum tire pressures.   
      
   It seems throughout your life, maybe, apparently, perhaps, people have   
   intuited more into that number than you found to actually be the case.   
      
   I don't know your background, but perhaps a salesman intuited one thing,   
   and perhaps a mechanic intuited another, and perhaps a neighbor intuited   
   one of those, and perhaps you, yourself, intuited something else, etc.   
      
   My position is that half of you intuited wrongly, on average.   
      
   My position is that the people you should trust are, in my most humble of   
   opinions, the _least_ intuitive people you can find. I'm one of them, by   
   the way, in that I don't trust my own intuition one stinking little bit.   
      
   I can't tell you how many times, for example, I intuited the ice would hold   
   when I was a kid crossing a frozen pond, and I was wrong. Or how many times   
   I intuited the hurricane wouldn't hit my campsite, where I never did find   
   half my equipment thereafter, or when I intuited that the tree branch I was   
   grasping on a cliff would hold my weight, which landed me in the hospital,   
   etc.   
      
   The people you want to trust are those who don't trust their own intuition.   
      
   On Usenet, unfortunately, it seems that the vast majority of people are   
   those who trust their own intuition more than they trust facts to the   
   contrary.   
      
   However, even those who trust facts can be burned.   
      
   For example, the home-repair group knows I carbonate my own well water,   
   where the burst strength of a typical 1 liter cola bottle is around 190 psi   
   (I called the company who makes them) so I set the gauge at 40 psi (you   
   only need about 25 psi to carbonate water but I wanted it a bit faster).   
      
   Unfortunately for me, I accidentally somehow had a runaway gauge (I still   
   don't know exactly what happened), where, at the very moment I realized   
   that the bottle was too taught, it exploded and slashed my wrist (luckily   
   it was a clean slice, as if with a razor, according to the nurse who sewed   
   it up).   
      
   The point is that I should have checked my facts, where, in this case, the   
   setting of 40psi was wrong in some way, shape, or form.   
      
   Yet, I don't blame the bottler, since I've bottled hundreds of bottles, and   
   that was my one and only accident with the burst pressure, but rest   
   assured, they will burst, just as tires will burst, if you get that   
   pressure high enough.   
   --   
   This has been a public service announcement on intuition versus facts.   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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