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|    Message 2,875 of 4,734    |
|    Oliver Crangle to All    |
|    THE BASIC LAWS OF HUMAN STUPIDITY (1/4)    |
|    16 Jul 14 23:58:41    |
      From: olivercranglejr@gmail.com              THE BASIC LAWS OF HUMAN STUPIDITY       by Carlo M. Cipolla       illustrations by James Donnelly       Table of contents              The first basic law of human stupidity       The second basic law       The third (and golden) basic law       Frequency distribution       The power of stupidity       The fourth basic law       The fifth basic law       The first basic law of human stupidity              The first basic law of human stupidity asserts without ambiguity that:              Always and inevitably everyone underestimates the number of stupid individuals       in circulation.              At first, the statement sounds trivial, vague and horribly ungenerous. Closer       scrutiny will however reveal its realistic veracity. No matter how high are       one's estimates of human stupidity, one is repeatedly and recurrently startled       by the fact that:                     a) people whom one had once judged rational and intelligent turn out to be       unashamedly stupid.              b) day after day, with unceasing monotony, one is harassed in one's activities       by stupid individuals who appear suddenly and unexpectedly in the most       inconvenient places and at the most improbable moments.              The First Basic Law prevents me from attributing a specific numerical value to       the fraction of stupid people within the total population: any numerical       estimate would turn out to be an underestimate. Thus in the following pages I       will denote the fraction        of stupid people within a population by the symbol σ.              The second basic law              Cultural trends now fashionable in the West favour an egalitarian approach to       life. People like to think of human beings as the output of a perfectly       engineered mass production machine. Geneticists and sociologists especially go       out of their way to prove,        with an impressive apparatus of scientific data and formulations that all men       are naturally equal and if some are more equal than others, this is       attributable to nurture and not to nature. I take an exception to this general       view. It is my firm        conviction, supported by years of observation and experimentation, that men       are not equal, that some are stupid and others are not, and that the       difference is determined by nature and not by cultural forces or factors. One       is stupid in the same way one        is red-haired; one belongs to the stupid set as one belongs to a blood group.       A stupid man is born a stupid man by an act of Providence. Although convinced       that fraction of human beings are stupid and that they are so because of       genetic traits, I am not        a reactionary trying to reintroduce surreptitiously class or race       discrimination. I firmly believe that stupidity is an indiscriminate privilege       of all human groups and is uniformly distributed according to a constant       proportion. This fact is        scientifically expressed by the Second Basic Law which states that              The probability that a certain person be stupid is independent of any other       characteristic of that person.              In this regard, Nature seems indeed to have outdone herself. It is well known       that Nature manages, rather mysteriously, to keep constant the relative       frequency of certain natural phenomena. For instance, whether men proliferate       at the Northern Pole or at        the Equator, whether the matching couples are developed or underdeveloped,       whether they are black, red, white or yellow the female to male ratio among       the newly born is a constant, with a very slight prevalence of males. We do       not know how Nature        achieves this remarkable result but we know that in order to achieve it Nature       must operate with large numbers. The most remarkable fact about the frequency       of stupidity is that Nature succeeds in making this frequency equal to the       probability quite        independently from the size of the group.              Thus one finds the same percentage of stupid people whether one is considering       very large groups or one is dealing with very small ones. No other set of       observable phenomena offers such striking proof of the powers of Nature.              The evidence that education has nothing to do with the probability was       provided by experiments carried on in a large number of universities all over       the world. One may distinguish the composite population which constitutes a       university in five major        groups, namely the blue-collar workers, the white-collar employees, the       students, the administrators and the professors.              Whenever I analyzed the blue-collar workers I found that the fraction σ of       them were stupid. As σ's value was higher than I expected (First Law), paying       my tribute to fashion I thought at first that segregation, poverty, lack of       education were to be        blamed. But moving up the social ladder I found that the same ratio was       prevalent among the white-collar employees and among the students. More       impressive still were the results among the professors. Whether I considered a       large university or a small        college, a famous institution or an obscure one, I found that the same       fraction σ of the professors are stupid. So bewildered was I by the results,       that I made a special point to extend my research to a specially selected       group, to a real elite, the        Nobel laureates. The result confirmed Nature's supreme powers: σ fraction of       the Nobel laureates are stupid.              This idea was hard to accept and digest but too many experimental results       proved its fundamental veracity. The Second Basic Law is an iron law, and it       does not admit exceptions. The Women's Liberation Movement will support the       Second Basic Law as it        shows that stupid individuals are proportionately as numerous among men as       among women. The underdeveloped of the Third World will probably take solace       at the Second Basic Law as they can find in it the proof that after all the       developed are not so        developed. Whether the Second Basic Law is liked or not, however, its       implications are frightening: the Law implies that whether you move in       distinguished circles or you take refuge among the head-hunters of Polynesia,       whether you lock yourself into a        monastery or decide to spend the rest of your life in the company of beautiful       and lascivious women, you always have to face the same percentage of stupid       people - which percentage (in accordance with the First Law) will always       surpass your expectations.              The third (and golden) basic law              The Third Basic Law assumes, although it does not state it explicitly, that       human beings fall into four basic categories: the helpless, the intelligent,       the bandit and the stupid. It will be easily recognized by the perspicacious       reader that these four        categories correspond to the four areas I, H, S, B, of the basic graph (see       below).              Figure 1 - The basic graph              [continued in next message]              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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