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   >Russian War Report: Russia just lost the most troops in a single battle so   
   >far in 2023   
   >   
   >As Russia continues its assault on Ukraine, the Atlantic Council’s Digital   
   >Forensic Research Lab (DFRLab) is keeping a close eye on Russia’s   
   >movements across the military, cyber, and information domains. With more   
   >than seven years of experience monitoring the situation in Ukraine—as well   
   >as Russia’s use of propaganda and disinformation to undermine the United   
   >States, NATO, and the European Union (EU)—the DFRLab’s global team   
   >presents the latest installment of the Russian War Report.   
   >Security   
   >   
   >Russian forces suffer losses in attempt to break through Ukrainian line at   
   >Avdiivka   
   >International response   
   >   
   >Ramped-up Russian propaganda machine targets the Armenian government   
   >Russian forces suffer losses in attempt to break through Ukrainian line at   
   >Avdiivka   
   >   
   >During a press briefing on October 26, John Kirby, coordinator for   
   >strategic communications at the National Security Council in the White   
   >House, confirmed that, according to US reports, Russian army officers are   
   >shooting soldiers for refusing to obey orders to attack. He also confirmed   
   >high losses for the Russian troops at Avdiivka, although he added that the   
   >Russian Armed Forces retain offensive capabilities and can achieve   
   >tactical successes. Though largely in ruins because of the fighting,   
   >Avdiivka is a strategically important town, and it could open the way to   
   >the southern parts of Donetsk Oblast for Ukrainian forces.   
   >   
   >In a Telegram post on October 28, the commander of Ukraine’s Tavria   
   >operational-strategic group, Oleksandr Tarnavskyi, said that Russian   
   >losses had increased. Also, on October 28, British intelligence said it   
   >believed the Russian command threw at least eight brigades into the   
   >assaults on Avdiivka. This resulted in the most significant losses for the   
   >Russian Armed Forces in a single battle in 2023 so far. At the same time,   
   >the Russian army launched four Iskander-K cruise missiles at Ukrainian   
   >territory. The Ukrainian Air Force intercepted three of them, while the   
   >fourth missile reportedly missed its target.   
   >   
   >On October 29, the Ukrainian army reported that the Russian army continued   
   >its offensive actions in the area around Kupiansk, Avdiivka, and Marinka   
   >and tried to regain lost positions near Andriivka and Robotyne. A   
   >resumption of Russian attacks in all regions except Lyman, where the   
   >regrouping of Russian Armed Forces units is underway, was reported by   
   >Ukraine’s army on October 28. The most intense fighting took place in the   
   >region around Avdiivka and Marinka.   
   >   
   >In the evening of October 30, the General Staff of the Armed Forces of   
   >Ukraine (AFU) noted a reduction in the intensity of Russian attacks   
   >compared to the previous days. In particular, there had been no attacks in   
   >the regions of Lyman or Zaporizhzhia, though five battles took place near   
   >Avdiivka and ten near Marinka.   
   >   
   >The AFU Air Force has reported the shooting down of all twelve Shahed   
   >drones, as well as both Kh-59 missiles fired at Ukraine on October 29–30.   
   >On October 30, the Russian army hit the Odesa region with Onyx anti-ship   
   >missiles. According to the regional administration, a ship repair plant   
   >was damaged, and two enterprise employees were wounded.   
   >   
   >Elsewhere, the commander of Ukraine’s Eastern Group troops, Oleksandr   
   >Syrskyi, said that Russian forces had brought reinforcements to the   
   >Bakhmut region and had transitioned from defense to offense, trying to   
   >regain lost positions. In particular, Russian airborne troops and the so-   
   >called “Storm Z” units, which are made up of former prisoners recruited in   
   >lieu of imprisonment, are being actively used.   
   >   
   >The situation is also complicated in the region of Kupiansk, where Russian   
   >units are trying to advance in several directions simultaneously. On   
   >October 30, locals reported that explosions were heard and smoke seen   
   >overhead in occupied Sevastopol after missiles flew over. The occupation   
   >authorities reported that the strikes were carried out with Storm Shadow   
   >cruise missiles. On its Telegram channel, the Strategic Communications   
   >Directorate of the Ukrainian Armed Forces Commander-in-Chief’s Office   
   >confirmed that an air defense facility of the Russian occupation forces in   
   >Crimea was hit on October 30. In the same Telegram post, the department   
   >also confirmed that, on October 25, it had destroyed an S-400 air defense   
   >missile system in occupied Luhansk, which had only been rumored up to that   
   >point.   
   >   
   >Meanwhile, on the international engagement front, Ukrainian officials   
   >continued to engage with officials from allied countries, including the   
   >United States and the United Kingdom. Ukrainian President Volodymyr   
   >Zelenskyy met with a bipartisan US congressional delegation on October 30,   
   >when he briefed them on the situation at the front and discussed further   
   >assistance needed for the Ukrainian armed forces. A few days earlier, on   
   >October 28, the New York Times reported that US experts had modified a   
   >Soviet-made Ukrainian Surface-to-Air Missile (SAM) system to fire Patriot   
   >missiles. Such “hybrid” SAMs will assist Ukraine in defending itself   
   >against Russian missile strikes.   
   >   
   >Elsewhere, on October 26, the commander-in-chief of the AFU, Valerii   
   >Zaluzhnyi, held a meeting with Commander of NATO in Europe General   
   >Christopher Cavoli, as well as with Admiral Tony Radakin, chief of the   
   >British defense staff. Together, they discussed the situation on the   
   >front, supplies of ammunition, and air defense equipment for Ukraine. A   
   >few days later on October 30, the British defense secretary said that his   
   >government would provide more military aid to Ukraine and would not let   
   >other countries forget about the war.   
   >   
   >Finally, Azerbaijan sent a large shipment of humanitarian aid to Ukraine,   
   >including cables to repair the power grid, a critical need before winter   
   >arrives.   
   >   
   >—Ruslan Trad, resident fellow for security research, Sofia, Bulgaria   
   >Ramped-up Russian propaganda machine targets the Armenian government   
   >   
   >In an October 25 interview with the Wall Street Journal, two days after   
   >signing defense cooperation agreement with France, including an   
   >unprecedented agreement on buying French weapons, Armenian Prime Minister   
      
   [continued in next message]   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
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