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   sci.skeptic      Skeptics discussing pseudo-science      95,770 messages   

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   Message 95,451 of 95,770   
   Dawn Flood to Attila   
   Re: If predictions fail your hypothesis    
   22 Jan 26 10:46:47   
   
   XPost: alt.global-warming, alt.atheism   
   From: Dawn.Belle.Flood@gmail.com   
      
   On 1/22/2026 9:22 AM, Attila wrote:   
   > On Thu, 22 Jan 2026 13:11:27 +0100, Paul Aubrin   
   >  in alt.atheism with message-id   
   >  wrote:   
   >   
   >> Le 22/01/2026 à 10:11, Attila a écrit :   
   >>> Definitions from Oxford Languages ·   
   >>> hy·poth·e·sis   
   >>> /hi'päTH?s?s/   
   >>> noun   
   >>> a supposition or proposed explanation made on the basis of   
   >>> limited evidence as a starting point for further   
   >>> investigation   
   >>   
   >> Now I'm going to discuss how we would look for a new law.   
   >> In general, we look for a new law by the following process. First we   
   >> guess it. Well don't laugh that's really true. Then we compute the   
   >> consequences of the guess to see, if this law that we guessed is right,   
   >> what it would imply, and then we compare those computational results to   
   >> nature (to experiment or experience). That is we compare it directly   
   >> with observation to see if it works. If it disagrees with experiment,   
   >> it's wrong.   
   >> In that simple statement is the key to science.   
   >> It doesn't make any difference how beautiful your guess is. It doesn't   
   >> make any difference how smart you are who made the guess, or what your   
   >> name is. If it disagrees with experiment it's wrong, that's all.   
   >>   
   >> Richard Feynman.   
   >   
   > Dead on.   
   >   
   >   'The most exciting phrase to hear in science, the one that   
   > heralds the most discoveries, is not “Eureka!” but ‘That’s   
   > funny...’   
   >   
   > — Isaac Asimov   
   >   
      
   Problem is, of course, that some "experiments" are impossible to   
   perform, such as the use of lead-based paints in homes and lead   
   poisoning in young children vis-à-vis a double-blinded,   
   placebo-controlled randomized study.  Such may be a case of "correlation   
   does not equate to causation", but a clear vector exists (little   
   children sometimes digest paint or breath paint dust into their lungs)   
   as to explain the existence of the correlation.   
      
   Dawn   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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