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   sci.skeptic      Skeptics discussing pseudo-science      95,770 messages   

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   Message 95,489 of 95,770   
   Dawn Flood to Paul Aubrin   
   Re: If predictions fail your hypothesis    
   26 Jan 26 08:04:59   
   
   XPost: alt.global-warming, alt.atheism, alt.messianic   
   From: Dawn.Belle.Flood@gmail.com   
      
   On 1/26/2026 1:01 AM, Paul Aubrin wrote:   
   > Le 26/01/2026 à 07:51, Dawn Flood a écrit :   
   >> On 1/26/2026 12:47 AM, Paul Aubrin wrote:   
   >>> Le 25/01/2026 à 19:14, Mitchell Holman a écrit :   
   >>>> "Scientific findings cannot be trusted   
   >>>> because they may later be disproven by   
   >>>> scientific findings"   
   >>>>   
   >>>> And they fail to see the problem with that.....   
   >>>   
   >>> All scientific models are only valid within a limited validity   
   >>> domain. For example, the perfect gas law is really useful in an   
   >>> extended range of temperatures and pressures around normal   
   >>> atmospheric conditions. For extreme conditions, you must use other   
   >>> models.   
   >>   
   >> And, your point is??   
   >   
   > Scientific findings can be trusted provided that you know their validity   
   > domain derived from observations and associated uncertainty.   
   >   
      
   Yeah, you're pounding on an open door; everyone in Science knows this.   
   You act like the IPCC has made no predictions whatsoever.  Have a look   
   at Dr. Roy Spencer's website:   
      
   https://www.drroyspencer.com/latest-global-temperatures/   
      
   Dr. Spencer, along with Dr. John R. Christy, et. al., is a climate   
   denier, but take Dr. Spencer's data and run a simple linear regression;   
   the coefficient does not have a confidence interval that includes zero.   
   Now, explain that!   
      
   Dawn   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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