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   sci.skeptic      Skeptics discussing pseudo-science      95,770 messages   

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   Message 95,495 of 95,770   
   Dawn Flood to Paul Aubrin   
   Re: If predictions fail your hypothesis    
   26 Jan 26 08:18:01   
   
   XPost: alt.global-warming, alt.atheism   
   From: Dawn.Belle.Flood@gmail.com   
      
   On 1/26/2026 1:13 AM, Paul Aubrin wrote:   
   > Le 25/01/2026 à 15:36, Vincent Maycock a écrit :   
   >> Arctic ice is decreasing, regardless of whether some people quoted on   
   >> Facebook speculated about the extent of that process.  Also,   
   >> meteorology is not an exact science like physics, and you don't   
   >> consider your weekly local weather forecast to be "falsified" if it   
   >> predicts rain and you just get a cloudy day sometimes.   
   >   
   > Nostradamus predictions are said to sometimes match reality. Would you   
   > say that Nostradamus forecasting method is valid ?   
   > Weather forecast match quite well reality for the next 10 or 12 days.   
   > Beyond that they are useless. The validity domain of weather forecasts   
   > is observed to be a few days. The validity domain of CMIP models has   
   > been observed to be nil.   
   >   
   >   
      
   Weather is different than climate.   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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