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   Message 95,530 of 95,770   
   Dawn Flood to Paul Aubrin   
   Re: If predictions fail your hypothesis    
   27 Jan 26 07:30:59   
   
   XPost: alt.global-warming, alt.atheism, alt.messianic   
   From: Dawn.Belle.Flood@gmail.com   
      
   On 1/27/2026 12:16 AM, Paul Aubrin wrote:   
   > Le 27/01/2026 à 01:23, Dawn Flood a écrit :   
   >>> To day I danced a rain dance. If it rains tomorrow, how would you   
   >>> explain that ?   
   >>>   
   >>   
   >> Only if your predictions can constitute a statistically significant   
   >> result   
   >   
   > That is not enough. One single erroneous prediction can invalidate a   
   > false hypothesis. But you need many good predictions, all over the   
   > validity domain, to gain confidence in a new hypothesis.   
   > All the climate models failed the comparison with observations over the   
   > 1979 to 2016 periodd.   
   >   
      
   They also fail over the 2016-2017 period, as well as this past weekend.   
   Try extending your graph instead of cropping it.   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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