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|    sci.space.science    |    Space and planetary science and related    |    1,217 messages    |
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|    Message 211 of 1,217    |
|    Sean Steele to All    |
|    Some Thoughts on the Sun's Recent Outbur    |
|    01 Nov 03 03:53:20    |
      From: chancellor@spaceinstitute.net              We are witnessing in real time the fact that stellar atmospheric dynamics       are much more complex than anyone admits to. The observed eleven year solar       cycle is so poorly understood that there are not many astrophysicists that       will make the claim that it can be adequately described with enough       resolution to make any presumptions really useful. It is fascinating to       note that the so-called "chance occurrences" of two near simultaneous events       we have witnessed are being described as "so low on the probability scale as       to be statistically impossible" - and yet, there they are in real time for       all to observe. It is difficult to imagine that it is we, out of all people       in all of history that are actually privy to once-in-a-stellar-lifetime       event. What is more likely is that we are witnessing common stellar       phenomenon that is so complex that we are unable to understand the       underlying process itself. It is also of some importance that we are also       probably onlookers to events that describe the true nature of a local star       for which we have little understanding. In this unsettling event, the       bottom line is that what we may be witnessing is a star of unexpected       complexity with a propensity to outbursts and relative instabilities we had       no prior knowledge of.                            In the real world of stellar atmospheric dynamics, events occur in       thermonuclear reality, in subatomic subsets and in quantum regions, not       readily decipherable by classical descriptions. This is, in fact, the real       rub. As John Haldane has stated so accurately, "My own suspicion is that       not only is the universe queerer than we suppose, it is queerer than we can       suppose." In light of this reality, we need to drop the presupposition that       we have a handle on the Sun's stellar dynamics and begin to look it in a       magnitude of greater depth. I suspect there is a fundamental quantum effect       here that we have either overlooked or have not yet uncovered. It is       essential that we pour many more resources into this study. Not that we       will ever be able to do anything about it, but it would be useful to develop       an early warning system based on the sun's quantum output, perhaps beginning       with a careful look at what happened to the neutrino count several weeks ago       from Sudbury and extending to the outbursts itself. Now there is a data set       I would love to get my hands on! Just a thought..                            Sean Steele              International Institute of Space Exploration              Space Studies Online              http://www.spaceinstitute.net              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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