XPost: alt.global-warming   
   From: kym@kymhorsell.com   
      
   In alt.global-warming MrPostingRobot@kymhorsell.com wrote:   
   >   
   > According to the world bank the % of India's electricity generated   
   > from renewables has shown a steady increase since 2002.   
   >   
   > Year    India: %elec from renewables   
   > 2000    13.5909480276924   
   > 2001    13.2070435298578   
   > 2002    12.0551611624532        <-- min   
   > 2003    13.4694247561217   
   > 2004    14.4825005007376   
   > 2005    16.6190180757235   
   > 2006    17.5404247180092   
   > 2007    17.8640856862195   
   > 2008    16.5098337370558   
   > 2009    15.6600552489802   
   > 2010    16.0437444354595   
   > 2011    17.316962856526   
   > 2012    15.732973360913   
   > 2013    17.3493138262499   
   > 2014    16.2538398153488   
   > 2015    15.3430503454798   
   > [2016-2019 MIA]   
      
   If someone out there doesnt have access to a timeseries package:   
      
   (3 pts weighted down because too far from trendline)   
   y = 1.34596e-11*exp(0.0138284*x)   
   Doubling rate every 50.12y   
   beta in 0.0138284 +- 0.00673385  90% CI   
   P(beta>0.000000) = 0.998212  (T Test)   
   calculated Spearman corr = 0.576923   
   Critical Spearman 2-sided at 5% = 0.48; reject H0:no_trend   
   alpha in -25.0313 +- 13.5221   
   r2 = 0.552868   
      
      
   The World Bank data doesnt have any numbers past 2015 for India   
   (it goes to 2019 for many parts of the world, so it looks like   
   the numbers have not been submitted).   
      
   The article claims %renewables c2020 is 23.6%. If you put THAT   
   value in the doubling time is every 17y.   
   So we might conservatively suspect the number calculated by   
   (whomever) for the article is on a different basis from   
   the WB numbers, above.   
   Either that, or there has been a terrific acceleration of   
   renewables installs/coal closures in India 2015-2020.   
   And that is just too unthinkable, albeit totally consistent with   
   the "easily outpaced" soundbyte from the article.   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)