XPost: alt.global-warming   
      
   Scientists generally accept warmer oceans are causing a boost in the   
   power, development, and duration of cyclones and also extending the   
   area where and length of season when they appear.   
      
   The same is true of landfalling cyclones.   
      
   The data from Dept of Commerce/NOAA disaster list from the 1980s   
   filtering out just tropical cyclones is thus:   
      
      
   Date    Cost   
   	($mns CPI-adj)   
   1980.66 1958.8   
   1983.66 7920.0   
   1985.67 3178.7   
   1985.75 2097.5   
   1985.83 3667.0   
   1989.75 19259.9   
   1991.66 2885.6   
   1992.67 50490.0   
   1992.74 5797.0   
   1994.57 1767.3   
   1995.65 1462.0   
   1995.74 3612.0   
   1995.82 8065.1   
   1996.74 8411.8   
   1998.66 1120.0   
   1998.67 1568.0   
   1998.75 9575.2   
   1999.74 10190.8   
   2001.49 12612.6   
   2002.65 1612.6   
   2002.75 1644.5   
   2003.75 7787.3   
   2004.66 22399.3   
   2004.73 13720.0   
   2004.74 28700.7   
   2004.74 10495.1   
   2005.58 3393.3   
   2005.67 170040.2   
   2005.75 25160.1   
   2005.83 25840.0   
   2008.59 1558.7   
   2008.68 7376.3   
   2008.74 36898.6   
   2011.67 15787.9   
   2011.73 2939.6   
   2012.67 3150.3   
   2012.84 74145.1   
   2016.82 10900.0   
   2017.67 131250.0   
   2017.74 52500.0   
   2017.75 94500.0   
   2018.74 24480.0   
   2018.82 25474.5   
   2019.67 1626.1   
   2019.74 5050.0   
   (2020.67 >=12000	<-- Laura "real estate cost/damage"   
      
   A TS regr finds:   
      
     (No serial corr).   
     y = 8.46991e-47*exp(0.0574811*x)   
     Doubling Time 12.06   
     beta in 0.0574811 +- 0.0275731  90% CI   
     P(beta>0.000000) = 0.999851   
     r2 = 0.230883   
     calculated Spearman corr = 0.472214   
     Critical Spearman value = 0.432000 2-sided at 1%; reject H0:no_trend   
      
      
   I.e. we are at least 95% sure (both tests suggest >=99%) the   
   CPI-adjusted costs of landfalling cyclones, which account for   
   inflation and population growth, are increasing over time.   
      
   The costs of cyclone hits is roughly doubling every 12 years.   
   Around now the avg landfalling cyclone is expected to cost around $22 bn.   
      
   --   
   Upcoming events:   
   07 Oct 2020	2020Q3 Billion Dollar Disasters NOAA   
      
   KenCaldeira @KenCaldeira 27 Aug 2020 17:17Z   
   This news story we will see NEVER: "Idiot on social media overturns   
   basic findings of modern climate science by pointing out some bit of   
   simple physics somehow overlooked by many 1000s of brilliant   
   climate scientists over the past 150 years."   
      
   [Bragging Rites:]   
   Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias 27 Aug 2020 02:31Z   
   I feel like once you pass 180,000 dead people it's maybe time to stop   
   bragging that your fake ban on travel from China stopped coronavirus.   
      
   The draining of Waratah Dam may make locals angry, but 'it's in a very poor   
   condition'   
   ABC Northern Tasmania, 27 Aug 2020 at 10:02p   
   A timeline for the decommissioning of Waratah Dam in Tasmania's north-west   
   is released, showing it will take years, and continuing to anger locals who   
   want to save it.   
      
   Just telling kids to 'eat healthy' doesn't work. So this couple wrote a book   
   about poo   
   ABC Radio National, 27 Aug 2020 at 9:49pm   
   Most kids never tire of talking about poo, unlike most parents. But it's a   
   conversation topic that could lead to a healthier life for both of you.   
      
   Queensland Premier cancels Schoolies on Gold Coast   
   ABC News, 27 Aug 2020 at 9:34p   
   Annastacia Palaszczuk says the chief health officer considers the annual   
   event for school leavers "high-risk", as the state records 3 new cases   
   of coronavirus, including 2 on the Gold Coast.   
      
   Two new schools closed after COVID-19 alert, corrective services employee   
   charged over alleged relationship   
   ABC Morning Briefing, 27 Aug 2020 at 9:06pm   
   Ryde Secondary College in Sydney's north-west and St Gertrude's Catholic   
   Primary School in Smithfield are closed after positive coronavirus test   
   results, and a corrective services employee has been charged over an alleged   
   inappropriate relationship with an inmate in the state's Hunter region.   
      
   Ocean acidification has impacted coral growth on the Great Barrier Reef   
   Geophysical Research Letters   
   Ocean acidification is considered a significant threat to the   
   functional integrity of coral reef ecosystems. However, detection and   
   attribution of acidification impact on corals in nature are confounded   
   by concurrent environmental changes, including ocean warming. This   
   study uses a numerical model to isolate the effects of acidification   
   and temperature, and show that acidification alone has caused 13%   
   decline in the skeletal density of massive Porites corals on the Great   
   Barrier Reef since 1950. This acidification-induced thinning of coral   
   skeletons reflects enhanced acidification of reef water relative to   
   the surrounding open ocean. Their finding reinforces concerns that   
   even corals that might survive multiple heatwaves are structurally   
   weakened and increasingly vulnerable to the compounding effects of   
   climate change.   
      
   Poland's planned energy restructuring set to hasten coal demise   
   Frédéric Simon, EurActiv   
      
   IPCC: the dirty tricks climate scientists faced in 3 decades since   
   first report   
   Marc Hudson, The Conversation   
      
   Record floods cause deaths and widespread damage in Sudan   
   Khalid Abdelaziz, Reuters   
      
   US officially joins global tr tree planting initiative   
   Rachel Frazin, The Hill   
      
   Comment: Easy street - why investors are hungry for hydrogen-fuelled   
   driving   
   June Yoon, Financial Times   
      
   California approves largest ever utility program to expand EV charging   
   Nichola Groom, Reuters   
      
   Comment: Energy deals in South China Sea are off limits if Russia   
   wants strong China ties   
   Danil Bochkov, South China Morning Post   
      
   Arctic Ocean is warming by a degree every decade in highest rise   
   since the last Ice Age, 40-year study shows   
   Helena Horton, The Daily Telegraph   
      
   On Tech: Big Oil faded. Will Big Tech?   
   Shira Ovide, The New York Times   
      
   End of 'Green Sahara' may have spurred a megadrought in southeast Asia   
   Christopher Intagliata, Scientific American   
      
   Daily chart - The Greenland ice sheet has melted past the point of no return   
   The Economist   
      
   Climeworks ramps up air capture CO2 ambitions as it inks Icelandic partnership   
   Toby Hill, BusinessGreen   
      
   Scottish distillery unveils 'climate-positive' vodka made from peas   
   Katie Grant, The i newspaper   
      
   Comment: Why we need to talk about orangutans, not just climate change   
   Rohan Silva, Evening Standard   
      
   Column: Disease X and rethinking the future of cities   
   John Kemp, Reuters   
      
   Green groups fight EPA rollback limiting states from blocking projects   
   Rebecca Beitsch, The Hill   
      
   Australia: Love the flame, not the fuel: should you give up cooking with gas?   
   Alyx Gorman, The Guardian   
      
   Discovery of bacteria which produce ethylene could lead to new ways of   
   producing plastic without using fossil fuels   
   Tom Bawden, The i newspaper   
      
   BREAKING (29 Aug): Victoria registered 94 new covid19 cases and 18   
   deaths in the past 24 hrs.   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)