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|    sci.environment    |    Discussions about the environment and ec    |    198,385 messages    |
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|    Message 197,658 of 198,385    |
|    MrPostingRobot@kymhorsell.com to All    |
|    key ocean current now weakest in 1000y (    |
|    26 Feb 21 23:40:23    |
      XPost: alt.global-warming              Current Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation weakest in last millennium       Nature Geoscience       In a "brief communication" paper, a group of researchers assess the       strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) -       "one of Earth's major ocean circulation systems". The team compares "a       variety of published proxy records to reconstruct the evolution of the       AMOC since about AD400". The findings show that "after a long and       relatively stable period, there was an initial weakening starting in       the 19th century, followed by a second, more rapid, decline in the       mid-20th century, leading to the weakest state of the AMOC occurring       in recent decades".              Atlantic Ocean current at weakest state in `over a millennium'       Daisy Dunne, The Independent via Carbon Brief       New research suggests that the Atlantic Ocean current that plays a       major role in the world's weather is at its weakest state in over a       millennium, reports the Independent. The paper continues: "The       research combines various lines of evidence to create a `consistent       picture' of how the ocean current system, which is known as the       `Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation' (AMOC), has changed over       the past 1,600 years. Sometimes called the Atlantic's `conveyer belt',       the AMOC is a vast ocean current system that moves warm, salty water       from the tropics to regions further north, such as the UK." The new       study, published in Nature Geoscience, builds on a 2018 paper by many       of the same authors, which found that the AMOC had weakened by around       15% since the mid 20th century. (See Carbon Brief`s coverage at the       time.) Dr Levke Caesar - lead author of both studies - explains to the       Independent that the research's main advance is that it combines       several different types of climate "proxy data" - natural records that       can be used to study the world's past climate. Caesar says: "The major       difference is that we didn't look at just one or 2 proxies - we       compiled a total of 11 proxies and found that they tell a consistent       story of how the AMOC evolved over the last 1600 years." This makes       the earlier conclusions on a weakening AMOC "considerably stronger",       co-author Prof Stefan Rahmstorf tells the Washington Post. The       findings are also "worrying", Rahmstorf tells the Financial Times: "If       this continues, we might be closing in slowly to a tipping point,       where this circulation could destabilise altogether." (For more on       tipping points, see Carbon Brief's in-depth explainer and accompanying       guest post specifically on AMOC.) The Times adds: "Climate scientists       had predicted that rising global temperatures could affect ocean       currents. One of the drivers of the system is water density, which is       affected by temperature and salinity. More localised precipitation and       more glacial melt in the Arctic means more fresh water entering the       sea, so changing that balance." Dr Andrew Meijers, the deputy science       leader of polar oceans at British Antarctic Survey, who was not       involved in the study, tells the Guardian: "The AMOC has a profound       influence on global climate, particularly in North America and Europe,       so this evidence of an ongoing weakening of the circulation is       critical new evidence for the interpretation of future projections of       regional and global climate." 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