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|    seattle.politics    |    Whats happening in the land of Nirvana    |    102,158 messages    |
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|    Message 101,261 of 102,158    |
|    a425couple to All    |
|    Fight: Inside the Wildest Battle for the    |
|    16 Apr 25 09:58:19    |
      [continued from previous message]              thus quick to switch to Kamala Harris when the time came. For example,       Donna Brazile (a well-known pundit and campaign manager) and convention       chair Minyon Moore were “part of a larger group of Black women       operatives — calling themselves ‘the colored girls’ ” — who had       helped       convince Biden to pick a Black woman vice presidential candidate in 2020.”              The authors write that this group, along with Joe Biden and the       Clintons, had worked hard to rebuild the party machinery in their own       image. Miss Brazile and former state legislator Bakari Sellers both       called party delegates throughout the South (many were black or from       black constituencies) and found that they were loyal to Joe Biden but       would switch to Kamala Harris if she took his place. Miss Harris was       also the only candidate who could legally inherit the money that the       Biden campaign had already raised.              The striking exception to black support for Kamala Harris was Barack       Obama. The authors claim he never had much faith in Joe Biden or Kamala       Harris. After the debate, he called Nancy Pelosi to talk about whether       the incumbent could still win, and pressed Mr. Biden himself in a tense       phone call about whether he still thought he could win. Mr. Obama, the       authors claim, did not believe in the party, and built up his own       organization during his political campaigns. He favored Gretchen Whitmer       or at least an accelerated primary to find a new candidate. Neither he       nor Nancy Pelosi believed in Miss Harris, and even the former president       was remarkably slow to endorse her after the switch.              None of this is very surprising. Mr. Obama was never a typical black       “machine” politician and famously lost to Bobby Rush in an early       congressional race. The secret of his appeal was that he was       “post-racial,” an illusion that did not die until his second term. His       (white) former staffers on the influential Pod Save America podcast were       the key figures who set off the flood of criticism that eventually drove       Joe Biden out of the race, and it is hard to believe they did not       reflect their former boss’s views. Barack Obama could appeal to white       voters in swing states and keep an iron grip on blacks — a trick Miss       Harris could not manage.              Joe Biden eventually decided not to run because he felt the party was       divided, not because he didn’t think he could win. However, his ego is       staggering, perhaps larger even than Donald Trump’s. At first, he balked       at endorsing Miss Harris because he wanted the headlines to be about       him, and he told his vice president that there must be “no daylight,       kid” between her campaign and his record. With Mr. Biden already       trailing Mr. Trump even before the debate, this crippled her campaign       before it started.              At the same time, though the authors (dubiously) claim that Miss Harris       did not want to be known for her race and sex, they point out that Mr.       Biden’s insistence on “no daylight” meant that those were all she could       tout as reasons to vote for her. Though Miss Harris prepared hard for       her debate with Donald Trump and arguably defeated him, her interviews       were often disastrous. The most damaging moment came in what should have       been a softball interview with “The View,” in which she said she could       not think of anything she would have done differently from Joe Biden.       The Trump campaign made it a campaign ad.              The authors write that Kamala Harris’s “sugar rush” surge after the       nomination was real but hit a ceiling. She took a narrow lead in some       polls, but it was statistically insignificant and driven by positive       media. Aside from the debate, there were no key moments on which to       build momentum. JD Vance’s easy defeat of Tim Walz in the       vice-presidential debate robbed the Harris campaign of perhaps its last       chance to save the campaign.              Racial politics may have been the main reason Tim Walz was picked. The       Trump campaign feared that Miss Harris would pick popular Pennsylvania       governor Josh Shapiro. However, Governor Shapiro is Jewish and       pro-Israel, and the Democrat coalition was already divided over the       Israeli response to the Hamas attack. Mr. Shapiro himself also may be       preparing to run in 2028, and didn’t seem eager to join the campaign. In       contrast, Tim Walz practically begged for the job, only to flub the debate.              However, the authors resist the idea that Miss Harris was doomed from       the start. Her surge was real, and the Trump campaign (and its volatile       chief) came dangerously close to tearing itself apart, with the       candidate showing signs of panic and almost turning on campaign heads       Susan Wiles and Chris LaCivita. What doomed Miss Harris, according to       the authors, is what they say doomed Mrs. Clinton in Shattered: There       was never a compelling reason for her candidacy or a central message.       Miss Harris was tied to Joe Biden and never explained why she was running.              In contrast, Mr. Trump’s message was clear. He stressed economic safety       (fighting inflation) and physical safety (fighting crime and illegal       immigration). The authors heap scorn on his infamous “they’re eating the       dogs, they’re eating the cats” claim about Haitians, but they concede it       still spoke to a basic worry about safety. Most people thought they knew       what Mr. Trump would do back in office.              Tactically, Mr. Trump’s campaign showed a flexibility that Miss Harris’s       lacked. With policies such as abolishing taxes on overtime and tips, and       stunts such as the McDonald’s photo op, Mr. Trump stayed in the news in       ways Miss Harris could not match. The Harris campaign could not seem to       operate without a script and seemed afraid to let its candidate speak       off-the-cuff. The Trump campaign (notably after some advice from son       Barron Trump) put the candidate on podcasts with Theo Von and Adin Ross,       appealing to independent male voters. The Trump campaign got some help       from Mr. Biden, who called Trump supporters “garbage.” That meant the       Trump campaign could turn the stupid joke at Madison Square Garden in       which a comedian compared Puerto Rico to floating garbage into another       chance for Mr. Trump to tout himself as a friend of workers.              Theo Von and Donald Trump       Exit poll results pose some challenges to white advocates who believe       demography is destiny. Mr. Trump’s share of Hispanic voters grew from 42       percent to 46 percent and Asians from 34 percent to 40 percent. He lost       women by only eight points, compared to 15 points in 2020. President       Trump also increased his rural base, doubling his margin to 30 percent.       He won a narrow victory in the suburbs, an improvement over 2020. His       gains among blacks (12 to 13 percent) and black men (19 to 21 percent)       were marginal.              Yet the real story of the Democrats is the story of the “black vote.”       Many Democratic politicians saw the problem emerging, but the Democrat       dependence on black politicians crippled them. Mr. Biden initially felt       confident about running again because most blacks in the party supported       him. Near the end of the book, Mr. Biden thanks Mr. Sharpton for his       stalwart support, before calling Nancy Pelosi a traitor. Because the       Democrats are so beholden to blacks, there could not be an alternative       to Miss Harris once Mr. Biden decided not to run. Indeed, the main       reason Miss Harris was even vice president was because black activists       (notably the “colored women” party workers) demanded that he pick a black.                     [continued in next message]              --- SoupGate-DOS v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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