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   soc.culture.scottish      More than just Haggis & overt cheapness      99,776 messages   

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   Message 98,226 of 99,776   
   Nicholas Benjamin to The Other Guy   
   Re: IF the vote for independence   
   07 May 15 20:09:27   
   
   From: nicholasiii@gmail.com   
      
   On Thursday, May 7, 2015 at 10:39:08 PM UTC-4, The Other Guy wrote:   
   > Were to be today, I'd expect a DIFFERENT outcome..   
   >    
   > SNP has taken 26 seats from Labor so far, and it's beginning    
   > to look like a clean sweep across Scotland.   
      
   Doubt it.   
      
   For one thing, it's a three-party system in Scotland. If the SNP is getting   
   45% (like it has in the past few elections), but the LibDems and Labor are   
   splitting the remainder then the SNP dominates. The Exit Polls I've seen thus   
   far don't show the    
   percentages, so there's no way to know whether the SNP is at it's recent   
   average of 45% or has gone past 50%.   
      
   Moreover, secessionist movements frequently have soft supporters who don't   
   actually want to leave the country, but do want the central government to make   
   concessions.   
      
   Nick   
      
   --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05   
    * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)   

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