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|    talk.atheism    |    Debate about the validity and nature of    |    89,766 messages    |
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|    Message 89,074 of 89,766    |
|    Intelligent Party to All    |
|    How Does COVID Not Just Take Off Again,     |
|    05 Jun 20 13:38:19    |
      XPost: alt.politics.usa.congress, alt.atheism, talk.politics.misc       XPost: alt.politics.usa.democrats, alt.politics.usa.republicans       From: Intelligent@savetheworldmsn.com              How few cases before one could think there would not be a liable epidemic?              They put the "stay-at-home" orders on, when there were less than 2,000 Active       Cases in the entire State of California. There are now over 80,000 Active       Case in       that State.              At 2,500 New Cases Daily in California - which is what was yesterday, there       will       be 2,500 x 30 = 75,000 new cases at the end of the month. 150,000 new cases at       the end of two months, and 225,000 new cases at the end of three months, minus       recoveries.              At 20,000 New Cases Daily Nationwide, which is current (22,000), there will be       20,000 x 30 = 600,000 new cases at the end of the month, 1,200,000 new cases at       the end of two months, and 1,800,000 new cases at the end of three months,       minus       recoveries.              Deaths are running about 5%-6% of that, 5% of 1,800,000 = 90,000, 6% =       108,000. So       basically 100,000 more dead in 3 months. Or 400,000 deaths per year ongoing.        At       30,000 Cases per day, it would be 100,000 in 2 months, or 600,000 deaths per       year.              And this is without people sitting in stuffy work rooms, restaurants or at       school.              Unless we eradicate, how can we "live" with this disease?              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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