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|    Message 195,680 of 196,508    |
|    Leroy N. Soetoro to All    |
|    Polling Brutal for Democrats on Immigrat    |
|    06 Feb 26 22:09:18    |
      XPost: alt.propaganda.statistics, misc.immigration.usa, alt.poli       ics.republicans       XPost: alt.fan.rush-limbaugh, sac.politics       From: leroysoetoro@americans-first.com              https://hotair.com/david-strom/2026/02/02/surprise-polling-brutal-for-       democrats-on-immigration-enforcement-according-a-rated-pollster-n3811462              I was so surprised by this poll that I had to look into the pollster who       put it out just to be certain that it wasn't some fly-by-night propaganda       outlet.              It isn't. Several sites rate Cygnal Polling as having a slight liberal       bias in their results, but as a high-factuality pollster that focuses       mostly on private clients. And the results are so lopsided that they would       have had to stack the deck by a huge margin to get the results that they       did.              And the results are BRUTAL for Democrats, although they also tell us       something about the Democrat strategy for the midterms. They are focused       entirely on turning out their base and have decided to go all-in on the       strategy of mobilizing their base and exhausting the rest of the       population.                     Brent Buchanan, Pollster       @brentbuc       ˇ       Follow       When Democrats don't believe illegal immigration is a problem, why would       they have any desire to fix it?              https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HAKsbbDWcAAZO8O?format=jpg&name=small              How brutal is the polling? Well, compared to the Ayatollah in Iran, they       may be able to claim more popularity with the general public, and it's       likely that people would rather have their city be declared a sanctuary       than get a case of Lyme Disease. Colonoscopies and root canals may be       considered less pleasant than being lectured to about morality by Chuck       Schumer, but few other things are.              https://media.townhall.com/cdn/hodl/ha/images/2026/33/0cabb8a8-a479-457d-       8b44-5c5bfcac6c34-650x0.png              According to Cygnal's Brent Buchanon, Democrats are "catastrophically       wrong" on the immigration issue, although I am not so certain. Not that he       is misanalyzing the numbers, but perhaps on whether the Democrats are       mistaken on their strategy.              68% of Democrats want to defund ICE. 58% of all voters oppose that. If       you're looking for the single biggest electoral blindspot in American       politics right now, you just found it.              Cygnal just conducted a nationwide survey of midterm voters to see where       things really stood on the issue of deportation, ICE, and immigration.              And I've never seen a major party this far out of step with the electorate       on a single issue.              The conventional wisdom in Washington says immigration is a "complicated"       issue where "reasonable people disagree." The media frames it as a debate       between compassion and cruelty. Democratic strategists apparently believe       their base's position is where the country is heading.              The data says they're wrong. Catastrophically wrong.              I am a bit surprised by the numbers, but hardly shocked. I knew that       "defund ICE" would be unpopular with the general public, but I expected       that enough people would be tired of the chaos that many would be driven       by exhaustion or fear of social opprobrium, making the number worse.              Let's start with deportation. 61% of midterm voters support it. 67% of       Democrats oppose it. That's a massive chasm between most people and where       the Democrats are.              64% of voters believe illegal immigration is a problem. 61% of Democrats       say it isn't. Same pattern.              Even the definition of "illegal" splits along party lines in ways that       should alarm anyone running a Democratic campaign. 73% of midterm voters       say coming to the U.S. without permission means you broke the law. 45% of       Democrats disagree with that basic premise.              I suspect that a lot of this has to do with the Pravda Media audience now       skews so Democrat that the ordinary person consumes or trusts so little of       the propaganda that it is becoming ineffective. There are people who       eagerly consume newspaper Op/Eds, watch CNN, believe The New York Times,       and then everybody else.              We only see "everybody else" on X, if that. Most people aren't even on X;       they just want the activists to enjoy the tear gas.              54% of voters support ICE's enforcement efforts. Among swing voters? 59%.       These are the people who decide elections, and they're overwhelmingly       siding with enforcement...and the Republican position.              Yet 81% of Democrats oppose ICE enforcing federal immigration laws to       remove illegal immigrants from the U.S. The gap between the Democratic       base and swing voters on this issue is net 43 points. In a polarized era       where most issues split along predictable lines, that kind of spread is       extraordinary.              Where I diverge from Buchanan is in his conclusion from examining these       numbers. He believes that they are electorally devastating, while I am not       so sure.              The results of Democrats' position on the deportation issue are       electorally devastating.              Democrats currently hold a nominal lead on the generic congressional       ballot. Standard stuff for the out-party. But when we frame the question       around supporting ICE's ability to enforce federal immigration laws, and a       Democrat opposes that, the ballot instantly ties (4-point shift).              Push it one step further. If Democrats force a government shutdown over       ICE funding, which is exactly what started today, Republicans take a 2-       point lead.              That's a 6-point swing on a single issue. In competitive districts, that's       the difference between winning and losing.              I hope he is right, but there is an alternate theory of the case, and one       that I think Democrats are banking on: that the chaos, which I predict       will escalate dramatically as the weather warms up, will increase voter       participation among Democrats and depress it among Republicans and       moderates.                     Stephen L. Miller       @redsteeze       ˇ       Follow       This poll was taken on stolen land.              https://x.com/guypbenson/status/2018347207812882774/photo/1              Democrats looked at the off-year elections, which sucked for Republicans       in 2025, and think: if we can mobilize our base through propaganda and get       them to believe they are on a crusade, we can swamp the polls through       turnout. Democrats can get Jay Jones elected, which is a miracle, so       "approval" in the general public is not the metric that matters.                     Rapid Response 47              @RapidResponse47       ˇ       Follow       NEW POLL:              ??? 73% say coming here illegally is breaking the law.              ??? 61% support deporting illegals.              ??? 58% oppose defunding ICE.              ??? 54% support ICE enforcing our immigration laws.              https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HAK2_axWMAAvkSB?format=jpg&name=240x240              Your average Democrat believes that the dark night of fascism is upon us.       AWFLs are taking to TikTok proudly demonstrating that they are willing to       sacrifice their own children to fight Bad Orange Man, so they surely will       show up to the polls and drag every homeless person along with them.              Will Republicans and especially moderates do the same? Perhaps, but more              [continued in next message]              --- SoupGate-Win32 v1.05        * Origin: you cannot sedate... all the things you hate (1:229/2)    |
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