XPost: rec.food.cooking, can.politics, can.general   
   XPost: or.politics, seattle.politics   
   From: robberbaron@invalid.ut   
      
   https://dailycallernewsfoundation.org/2024/10/04/cnns-harry-ente   
   -points-to-a-bad-sign-for-kamala-harris-ahead-of-election/   
      
   CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten said Friday that the current   
   percentage of Americans who believe the U.S. is on the right track is a   
   “bad sign” for Vice President Kamala Harris.   
      
   An average of 28% of Americans currently believe the country is on the   
   right track, which historically puts an incumbent party on track to lose   
   an upcoming election, Enten said. The CNN reporter said that the   
   incumbent party normally loses an election if an average of 25% believe   
   the nation is on the right track, while a party is likely to win if that   
   number ticks up to an average of 42%.   
      
   “When does the average, when an incumbent party loses the election? Look   
   at that, it’s just 25%. That looks a heck of a lot like that 28% that   
   currently think the country is on the right track,” Enten said. “When   
   the White House party wins … 42% on average think the country is on the   
   right track.  This 25% looks a lot more like this 28%, it doesn’t look   
   anything like this 42%, this to me is a bad sign for Kamala Harris’   
   campaign. The bottom line is, it looks a lot more like a loser than it   
   does like a winner when it comes to the country being on the right track.”   
      
   The current 28% is significantly lower than the averages past incumbent   
   presidents had when they won reelection. The averages ranged from 39% in   
   the 1996 election up to 47% during the election of 1984, when former   
   President Ronald Reagan won reelection.   
      
   “Look throughout history … in all of these instances, far more than 28%   
   thought that the country was on the right track. 39% back in 1996, we’ve   
   got an upwards of 47% in ’84, of course that was a blowout for Ronald   
   Reagan. So there is no historical precedent for the White House party   
   winning another term in the White House when just 28% of the country   
   thinks that we’re on the right track,” Enten continued.   
      
      
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