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|  Message 39861  |
|  COD Weather Processor to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu  |
|  DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook  |
|  29 Dec 25 00:52:22  |
 TZUTC: 0000 MSGID: 168063.weather@1:2320/105 2db9974e PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0 TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0 BBSID: CAPCITY2 CHRS: ASCII 1 FORMAT: flowed ACUS01 KWNS 290052 SWODY1 SPC AC 290050 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0650 PM CST Sun Dec 28 2025 Valid 290100Z - 291200Z ...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE MIDWEST AND OHIO VALLEY... ...SUMMARY... Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible over parts of the Midwest and Ohio Valley this evening. Severe/damaging wind gusts and perhaps a tornado are the primary threats. ...01z Update... Midlevel low is digging southeast across southeast SD early this evening. This feature is forecast to track across IA then eject into northern lower MI by the end of the period as an intense 500mb speed max translates into the OH Valley. In response to this short wave, surface low will deepen as it lifts north across lower MI overnight. The primary concern for deep convection, especially this evening, will be along the cold front as it surges across IN/western KY. Latest radar data exhibits a narrow, strongly forced line of convection from near Fort Wayne, IN southwest across southern IL into extreme northeast AR. This activity has progressed through the primary corridor of instability, but pre frontal air mass across the OH Valley remains adequately buoyant for surface-based convection, at least for the next several hours. Damaging winds should be the primary risk this evening, though a tornado or two can not be ruled out. ..Darrow.. 12/29/2025 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105) SEEN-BY: 19/10 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302 128/187 129/14 SEEN-BY: 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50 110 700 218/700 840 220/10 20 30 SEEN-BY: 220/70 90 221/1 6 360 226/17 18 30 44 50 227/114 229/110 SEEN-BY: 229/134 206 300 307 317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 SEEN-BY: 267/800 291/111 301/1 320/219 322/757 335/364 341/66 342/200 SEEN-BY: 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 770/1 100 340 350 772/210 220 SEEN-BY: 772/230 902/26 2320/0 105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35 PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 218/840 770/1 633/280 229/426 |
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