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 Message 39861 
 COD Weather Processor to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu 
 DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook 
 29 Dec 25 00:52:22 
 
TZUTC: 0000
MSGID: 168063.weather@1:2320/105 2db9974e
PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0
TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0
BBSID: CAPCITY2
CHRS: ASCII 1
FORMAT: flowed
ACUS01 KWNS 290052
SWODY1
SPC AC 290050

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0650 PM CST Sun Dec 28 2025

Valid 290100Z - 291200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE MIDWEST AND OHIO VALLEY...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered severe thunderstorms remain possible over parts of the
Midwest and Ohio Valley this evening. Severe/damaging wind gusts and
perhaps a tornado are the primary threats.

...01z Update...

Midlevel low is digging southeast across southeast SD early this
evening. This feature is forecast to track across IA then eject into
northern lower MI by the end of the period as an intense 500mb speed
max translates into the OH Valley. In response to this short wave,
surface low will deepen as it lifts north across lower MI overnight.
The primary concern for deep convection, especially this evening,
will be along the cold front as it surges across IN/western KY.
Latest radar data exhibits a narrow, strongly forced line of
convection from near Fort Wayne, IN southwest across southern IL
into extreme northeast AR. This activity has progressed through the
primary corridor of instability, but pre frontal air mass across the
OH Valley remains adequately buoyant for surface-based convection,
at least for the next several hours. Damaging winds should be the
primary risk this evening, though a tornado or two can not be ruled
out.

..Darrow.. 12/29/2025

$$

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