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ACUS11 KWNS 021835
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021834=20
NEZ000-022230-

Mesoscale Discussion 0003
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1234 PM CST Fri Jan 02 2026

Areas affected...Parts of central NE

Concerning...Freezing rain=20

Valid 021834Z - 022230Z

SUMMARY...Freezing rain may continue through the afternoon, and may
occasionally mix with sleet. Modest ice accretion is possible.

DISCUSSION...Precipitation has gradually increased in coverage
through the morning across western/central NE, in association with
midlevel shortwave trough moving east-southeastward across the
region. Initial dryness in the 850-700 mb layer (as observed in the
18Z OAX sounding) has likely limited precipitation amounts to some
extent, but a modest increase in rates is possible into mid
afternoon as saturation occurs and precipitation continues. The
surface freezing line is currently oriented north-south across
west-central NE, and is expected to make only slow eastward progress
through the afternoon, as ongoing precipitation and low-level
cold/dry advection help to maintain subfreezing conditions farther
east.=20

The bulk of the afternoon precipitation will fall where surface
temperatures will remain below freezing. Some sleet will be possible
within the colder environment across north-central/northeast NE, but
short-term guidance continues to indicate primarily freezing rain
across central NE, where a shallower subfreezing layer will be in
place. Precipitation will generally remain rather light, but 3-hour
rates may approach or exceed 0.05", with modest ice accretion
possible.

..Dean.. 01/02/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!8gWN4pJwGtesX2z3O3IduPgQptube2A2LRY5OBeZMmAv6VNx9SWcxL-om18mxHx3mZ3jBk6F9=
ZFP3vXiSNMPAEzdELA$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...

LAT...LON   42599956 42539834 41849752 41329706 40939707 40739767
            40719860 40919965 41139992 41439999 42160004 42599956=20


=3D =3D =3D
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