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ACUS48 KWNS 140931
SWOD48
SPC AC 140930

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0330 AM CST Wed Jan 14 2026

Valid 171200Z - 221200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Medium-range guidance generally indicates that amplified mid-level
troughing, evolving by late week to the east of the Rockies, will be
maintained through this coming weekend, before a fairly prominent
ridge near and offshore of the Pacific Northwest/British Columbia
coast weakens and redevelops to the west/northwest.  However, even
as flow trends less amplified, it appears that a broadly confluent
westerly to northwesterly regime to the east of the Rockies may
continue to support a series of southeastward developing cold
surface ridges.  Toward the middle of next week, this may become
less of an influence across the southwestern into western Gulf
Basin, beneath a belt of strengthening mid/upper westerlies
emanating from the subtropical eastern Pacific.  It is possible that
low-level moistening and forcing for ascent could become supportive
of sufficient destabilization for thunderstorm development by
Tuesday/Wednesday across the northwestern Gulf.  However, it is not
yet clear that this will impact areas inland of the Gulf coast, or
become particularly strong.

..Kerr.. 01/14/2026

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