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|  Message 40368  |
|  COD Weather Processor to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu  |
|  DAY1SVR: Day 1 Convective Outlook  |
|  15 Jan 26 05:45:14  |
 TZUTC: 0000 MSGID: 168571.weather@1:2320/105 2dd0476e PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0 TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0 BBSID: CAPCITY2 CHRS: ASCII 1 FORMAT: flowed ACUS01 KWNS 150545 SWODY1 SPC AC 150543 Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1143 PM CST Wed Jan 14 2026 Valid 151200Z - 161200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast. ...South Florida... Midlevel short-wave trough is digging southeast across the northern Gulf basin late this evening. As this feature digs toward the FL Peninsula, strong cold front will surge to near the southern tip of the Peninsula by 18z, then across the straights by late afternoon. Latest radar data exhibits shallow convection across the eastern Gulf basin, but minimal lighting has been noted with this activity. HREF guidance suggests scattered convection will develop along the boundary as it surges southeast, but forecast instability is not particularly noteworthy, and lapse rates will remain poor. Earlier thoughts regarding the prospect for thunderstorms continues. While a flash of lightning can not be ruled out, most updrafts will remain too weak/shallow to justify a 10 percent probability of thunder during the day1 period. ..Darrow/Lyons.. 01/15/2026 $$ = = = To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM. --- SBBSecho 3.28-Linux * Origin: Capitol City Online (1:2320/105) SEEN-BY: 19/10 104/119 105/81 106/201 114/10 120/302 128/187 129/14 SEEN-BY: 153/757 7715 154/10 30 50 110 700 218/700 840 220/10 20 30 SEEN-BY: 220/70 90 221/1 6 360 226/17 18 30 44 50 227/114 229/110 SEEN-BY: 229/134 206 300 307 317 400 426 428 470 664 700 705 266/512 SEEN-BY: 267/800 291/111 301/1 320/219 322/757 335/364 341/66 342/200 SEEN-BY: 396/45 460/58 633/280 712/848 770/1 100 340 350 772/210 220 SEEN-BY: 772/230 902/26 2320/0 105 304 3634/12 5020/400 5075/35 PATH: 2320/105 154/10 221/6 218/840 770/1 633/280 229/426 |
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