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PID: Synchronet 3.21a-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0
TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0
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ACUS48 KWNS 160836
SWOD48
SPC AC 160834

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook RESENT 1
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0234 AM CST Fri Jan 16 2026

Valid 191200Z - 241200Z

...DISCUSSION...
Broad upper troughing will persist across much of the CONUS from the
Rockies to the Eastern Seaboard during the Day 4-8 period. Surface
high pressure will largely keep Gulf moisture well offshore, with
cold air intrusions into the Plains and eastern U.S. precluding much
in the way of thunderstorm potential.

The exception may be briefly on Day 6/Wednesday across portions of
the Texas Coastal Plain vicinity. As a reinforcing shortwave upper
trough ejects across the Rockies, lee surface low development over
western TX will allow for very modest Gulf moisture to filter into
south/southeast TX. A cold front will sweep south/southeast during
the evening/overnight and isolated thunderstorms could develop.
Severe potential appears low given modest moisture/limited
destabilization.

..Leitman.. 01/16/2026

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