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ACUS01 KWNS 231600
SWODY1
SPC AC 231558

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0958 AM CST Fri Jan 23 2026

Valid 231630Z - 241200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Scattered weak thunderstorm activity is likely today into tonight
across the Texas Big Bend region into central Texas.

A large upper trough will deepen over the Rockies and High Plains
this evening, with large-scale forcing for ascent spreading across
much of TX/OK.  Forecast soundings in this area show sufficiently
steep mid-level lapse rates and MUCAPE > 0 to support occasional
thunderstorms.  This includes parts of western north TX and southern
OK where freezing p-types are anticipated.

Over south TX, the main cold front will be surging southward into a
moist air mass with dewpoints in the 60s.  Several model solutions
suggest the development of a few thunderstorms along the front -
mainly after dark.  While a brief tornado or strong wind gust cannot
be ruled out, rapid undercutting of the front is expected to limit
the overall severe threat so no probabilities have been added.

..Hart/Grams.. 01/23/2026

$$

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