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ACUS11 KWNS 241347
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 241347=20
TXZ000-OKZ000-241645-

Mesoscale Discussion 0042
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0747 AM CST Sat Jan 24 2026

Areas affected...Northwest TX...Southwest OK

Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation=20

Valid 241347Z - 241645Z

SUMMARY...Increasing coverage of winter mixed precipitation (mostly
sleet) is possible from northwest Texas into southwest Oklahoma over
the next few hours.

DISCUSSION...Deepening ascent is evident on satellite imagery from
far west TX into northwest TX, downstream of a subtle shortwave
trough moving through the southwesterly flow aloft well ahead of the
upper low off the central Baja California coast. This deepening
ascent has resulting in an expanding area of light to moderate
precipitation now moving into northwest TX. Surface temperatures in
this region are well-below freezing (i.e. lower teens to single
digits), but forecast sounding still show a substantial warm nose.
This profile appears to favor sleet, although some snow could be
mixed in a well. As a result, mixed winter precipitation is
anticipated from northwest TX into southwest TX over the next few
hours. Precipitation rates will generally be light, but modestly
steep lapse rates above the warm nose suggest some embedded moderate
rates are possible.

..Mosier.. 01/24/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5nm6kOMVGz1dGJ33Zc3HxhKgVFsTX6Ulmf7Pi9pmohOX7bNklEkR1Kw2VENbtoZGePZSvVnqf=
bSWy425MG6sgivJT2o$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...

LAT...LON   32889896 32979985 33350059 33870119 34630112 35010059
            35140013 35189924 34979859 34799814 34459781 34089767
            33379798 33019856 32889896=20


=3D =3D =3D
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