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MSGID: 168893.weather@1:2320/105 2ddd8e46
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TID: SBBSecho 3.28-Linux master/123f2d28a Jul 12 2025 GCC 12.2.0
BBSID: CAPCITY2
CHRS: ASCII 1
FORMAT: flowed
ACUS11 KWNS 250721
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 250720=20
VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-251315-

Mesoscale Discussion 0052
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0120 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026

Areas affected...Northern South Carolina...Central and Northern
North Carolina...Southern Virginia

Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation=20

Valid 250720Z - 251315Z

SUMMARY...Areas of freezing rain are expected through Sunday morning
from South Carolina into southern and central North Carolina. From
northern North Carolina into southern Virginia, a mix of snow and
sleet is expected to changeover to a mix of sleet and freezing rain
by daybreak.

DISCUSSION...Latest water vapor imagery shows abundant mid-level
moisture across most of the east-central U.S. within
west-southwesterly flow aloft. A broad mid-level jet extends
westward from the Northeast into the southern Great Lakes and Ohio
Valley. Strong lift within the right entrance region of the jet
combined with a broad zone of warm advection will continue to be
favorable for widespread precipitation from the Ohio and Tennessee
Valley eastward to the Eastern Seaboard. From the Carolinas
northward, a sub-freezing airmass is in place but temperatures in
the low to mid-levels are warm, with forecast soundings showing a
warm nose just above 850 mb ranging from +5 To +10 C. This
temperature profile will be favorable for freezing rain from South
Carolina northward into southern and central North Carolina through
daybreak.

Further to the north across northern North Carolina and southern
Virginia, low to mid-level temperatures are cold enough for a mix of
snow and sleet. As strong warm advection continues over the next few
hours, a gradual transition to sleet and freezing rain is expected.

..Broyles/Mosier.. 01/25/2026

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj=
g!5egZ-JVeXmPPpKptc5ppj4o3q03kTWEnBW4Z7UhLTyk2T2AL-CHnUzTXHbDLqwEqCzh0haLlK=
z71vtLLZ49Fus6m5U8$  for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE...GSP...

LAT...LON   34697911 34398011 34208103 34178191 34348233 34568245
            34968236 35428187 36398005 36857935 37127869 37197770
            37077700 36817666 36517661 36127680 35317772 34697911=20


=3D =3D =3D
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